**PL maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election**, where 54 of 81 seats are contested, owing to its existing 15-seat bloc, aggressive slate of candidates across multiple states, and alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the same label. MDB follows as the main alternative, supported by its 10 current seats and centrist positioning that appeals in fragmented state races. Smaller parties trail amid the staggered calendar, which advantages established organizations with strong local networks. Recent presidential polling showing a tight Lula-Flávio contest has reinforced expectations of PL coattails, while no major shifts in candidate filings or alliances have altered the hierarchy in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PL 72%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB） 14.4%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO） 10.0%
工人黨（PT） 4.0%
$256,034 交易量
$256,034 交易量
2026-10-04
PL
72%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB）
14%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO）
10%
工人黨（PT）
4%
巴西社會黨（PSB）
4%
共和黨（REPUBLICANOS）
2%
PDT
1%
社會民主黨（PSD）
1%
新黨（NOVO）
1%
PODEMOS
1%
PSDB
<1%
進步黨（PP）
<1%
PL 72%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB） 14.4%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO） 10.0%
工人黨（PT） 4.0%
$256,034 交易量
$256,034 交易量
2026-10-04
PL
$242,863 交易量
72%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB）
$1,271 交易量
14%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO）
$1,132 交易量
10%
工人黨（PT）
$1,250 交易量
4%
巴西社會黨（PSB）
$1,192 交易量
4%
共和黨（REPUBLICANOS）
$1,224 交易量
2%
PDT
$1,080 交易量
1%
社會民主黨（PSD）
$1,200 交易量
1%
新黨（NOVO）
$1,257 交易量
1%
PODEMOS
$1,380 交易量
1%
PSDB
$1,133 交易量
<1%
進步黨（PP）
$1,052 交易量
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**PL maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election**, where 54 of 81 seats are contested, owing to its existing 15-seat bloc, aggressive slate of candidates across multiple states, and alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the same label. MDB follows as the main alternative, supported by its 10 current seats and centrist positioning that appeals in fragmented state races. Smaller parties trail amid the staggered calendar, which advantages established organizations with strong local networks. Recent presidential polling showing a tight Lula-Flávio contest has reinforced expectations of PL coattails, while no major shifts in candidate filings or alliances have altered the hierarchy in recent weeks.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$256,034結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**PL maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election**, where 54 of 81 seats are contested, owing to its existing 15-seat bloc, aggressive slate of candidates across multiple states, and alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the same label. MDB follows as the main alternative, supported by its 10 current seats and centrist positioning that appeals in fragmented state races. Smaller parties trail amid the staggered calendar, which advantages established organizations with strong local networks. Recent presidential polling showing a tight Lula-Flávio contest has reinforced expectations of PL coattails, while no major shifts in candidate filings or alliances have altered the hierarchy in recent weeks.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$256,034結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**PL maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for the most seats in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 Senate election**, where 54 of 81 seats are contested, owing to its existing 15-seat bloc, aggressive slate of candidates across multiple states, and alignment with Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential candidacy under the same label. MDB follows as the main alternative, supported by its 10 current seats and centrist positioning that appeals in fragmented state races. Smaller parties trail amid the staggered calendar, which advantages established organizations with strong local networks. Recent presidential polling showing a tight Lula-Flávio contest has reinforced expectations of PL coattails, while no major shifts in candidate filings or alliances have altered the hierarchy in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions