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新罕布什爾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon

新罕布什爾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

最新
Polymarket
最新

凱莉·艾奧特

$2,086 交易量

87%

Corey Lewandowski

$1,726 交易量

9%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte commands 87% trader consensus for her party's nomination in the September 8 primary, driven by her strong general election polling leads—such as 46% to 39% over Democrat Cinde Warmington in a March Saint Anselm survey—and historical incumbency advantages in low-turnout primaries with no declared challengers ahead of June filing deadlines. Recent UNH polling showed her approval dipping to around 45% in February, yet she maintains favorable ratings amid executive actions like a March 30 order advancing small modular nuclear reactors. Trump ally Corey Lewandowski holds 8% on lingering 2025 rumors of a challenge over redistricting disputes, but without a campaign launch, odds reflect minimal upset risk barring late endorsements or scandals.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$3,812
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte commands 87% trader consensus for her party's nomination in the September 8 primary, driven by her strong general election polling leads—such as 46% to 39% over Democrat Cinde Warmington in a March Saint Anselm survey—and historical incumbency advantages in low-turnout primaries with no declared challengers ahead of June filing deadlines. Recent UNH polling showed her approval dipping to around 45% in February, yet she maintains favorable ratings amid executive actions like a March 30 order advancing small modular nuclear reactors. Trump ally Corey Lewandowski holds 8% on lingering 2025 rumors of a challenge over redistricting disputes, but without a campaign launch, odds reflect minimal upset risk barring late endorsements or scandals.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$3,812
結束日期
2026-09-08
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"新罕布什爾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "凱莉·艾奧特" at 87%, followed by "Corey Lewandowski" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"新罕布什爾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 4, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "新罕布什爾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "新罕布什爾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "凱莉·艾奧特" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Corey Lewandowski" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "新罕布什爾州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.