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MO-01民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon

MO-01民主黨初選獲勝者

最新
Polymarket
最新

Wesley Bell

$2,732 交易量

65%

Cori Bush

$1,891 交易量

30%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rep. Wesley Bell commands trader consensus at 64% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, leveraging incumbency advantages after his 2024 primary upset over Cori Bush, where he prevailed amid significant outside spending targeting her progressive stances on Israel policy. Bush trails at 30% following her October 2025 campaign relaunch and recent filing by the March 31 deadline, framing the rematch around grassroots priorities and AIPAC opposition, bolstered by endorsements from Justice Democrats and National Nurses United. The confirmed head-to-head matchup in this St. Louis-anchored, plurality-Black district highlights Bell's local prosecutor record and voter base retention, with no public polls yet to challenge market positioning ahead of the summer contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$4,623
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rep. Wesley Bell commands trader consensus at 64% implied probability to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, leveraging incumbency advantages after his 2024 primary upset over Cori Bush, where he prevailed amid significant outside spending targeting her progressive stances on Israel policy. Bush trails at 30% following her October 2025 campaign relaunch and recent filing by the March 31 deadline, framing the rematch around grassroots priorities and AIPAC opposition, bolstered by endorsements from Justice Democrats and National Nurses United. The confirmed head-to-head matchup in this St. Louis-anchored, plurality-Black district highlights Bell's local prosecutor record and voter base retention, with no public polls yet to challenge market positioning ahead of the summer contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$4,623
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MO-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wesley Bell" at 65%, followed by "Cori Bush" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MO-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MO-01民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MO-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Wesley Bell" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cori Bush" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MO-01民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.