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政治·主要

明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

米歇爾·塔福亞 78%

亞當·施瓦茨 12.4%

雷蒙德·彼得森 5.0%

麥克·魯奧霍 4.5%

Polymarket

$31,068 交易量

米歇爾·塔福亞 78%

亞當·施瓦茨 12.4%

雷蒙德·彼得森 5.0%

麥克·魯奧霍 4.5%

Polymarket

$31,068 交易量

米歇爾·塔福亞

$1,586 交易量

78%

亞當·施瓦茨

$0 交易量

12%

雷蒙德·彼得森

$0 交易量

5%

麥克·魯奧霍

$0 交易量

4%

羅伊斯·懷特

$0 交易量

3%

艾莉西亞·格倫哈根

$0 交易量

2%

Christopher Brooks

$1,242 交易量

2%

大衛·漢恩

$21,861 交易量

1%

吉姆·納許

$2,120 交易量

1%

Tom Weiler

$0 交易量

1%

朱莉婭·科爾曼

$4,258 交易量

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Michele Tafoya (77%) as the Republican U.S. Senate primary winner in Minnesota's open race to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith, driven by her national name recognition as a former ESPN broadcaster, early NRSC endorsement from Chair Tim Scott, and a February poll showing her leading the GOP field by a wide margin. Adam Schwarze (12.4%) gains from Navy SEAL credentials and recent grassroots wins, including the SD41 straw poll (43%-35% over Tafoya) and other BPOU conventions amid precinct caucuses. Lower-tier candidates like Raymond Petersen trail due to limited organization. Ongoing district conventions feed into the state GOP endorsement process ahead of the August 11 primary, where historical patterns favor the endorsed nominee unless challenged.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$31,068
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Michele Tafoya (77%) as the Republican U.S. Senate primary winner in Minnesota's open race to succeed retiring Sen. Tina Smith, driven by her national name recognition as a former ESPN broadcaster, early NRSC endorsement from Chair Tim Scott, and a February poll showing her leading the GOP field by a wide margin. Adam Schwarze (12.4%) gains from Navy SEAL credentials and recent grassroots wins, including the SD41 straw poll (43%-35% over Tafoya) and other BPOU conventions amid precinct caucuses. Lower-tier candidates like Raymond Petersen trail due to limited organization. Ongoing district conventions feed into the state GOP endorsement process ahead of the August 11 primary, where historical patterns favor the endorsed nominee unless challenged.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$31,068
結束日期
2026-08-11
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "米歇爾·塔福亞" at 78%, followed by "亞當·施瓦茨" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $31.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "米歇爾·塔福亞" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "亞當·施瓦茨" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "明尼蘇達州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.