Market icon
政治·主要

路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者

Julia Letlow 71%

約翰·弗萊明 14.0%

比爾·卡西迪 11%

Blake Miguez <1%

Polymarket

$63,901 交易量

Julia Letlow 71%

約翰·弗萊明 14.0%

比爾·卡西迪 11%

Blake Miguez <1%

Polymarket

$63,901 交易量

Julia Letlow

$6,941 交易量

71%

約翰·弗萊明

$30,362 交易量

14%

比爾·卡西迪

$26,597 交易量

11%

Blake Miguez

$0 交易量

<1%

薩繆爾“薩米”懷亞特

$0 交易量

<1%

Julie Emerson

$0 交易量

<1%

Xan John

$0 交易量

<1%

埃里克·斯克梅塔

$0 交易量

<1%

蘭德爾·阿靈頓

$0 交易量

<1%

克里斯·霍爾德

$0 交易量

<1%

凱西·塞登

$0 交易量

<1%

特蕾西·丹迪

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow at 70.5% to win Louisiana's closed Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by President Trump's early January endorsement—"RUN, JULIA, RUN!!!"—and Gov. Jeff Landry's backing, positioning her as the MAGA-aligned challenger to incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy, whose 2021 vote to convict Trump in his second impeachment trial has fueled RINO primary opposition. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 13.7% as a more conservative alternative amid fundraising clashes and mutual attacks. Recent March polls show a tight three-way split—Letlow 27%, Cassidy 26%, Fleming 19%—with 28% undecided, likely forcing a June 27 runoff between the top two, but traders bet on Letlow's momentum in the low-turnout GOP contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$63,901
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow at 70.5% to win Louisiana's closed Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 16, driven by President Trump's early January endorsement—"RUN, JULIA, RUN!!!"—and Gov. Jeff Landry's backing, positioning her as the MAGA-aligned challenger to incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy, whose 2021 vote to convict Trump in his second impeachment trial has fueled RINO primary opposition. State Treasurer John Fleming trails at 13.7% as a more conservative alternative amid fundraising clashes and mutual attacks. Recent March polls show a tight three-way split—Letlow 27%, Cassidy 26%, Fleming 19%—with 28% undecided, likely forcing a June 27 runoff between the top two, but traders bet on Letlow's momentum in the low-turnout GOP contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$63,901
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julia Letlow" at 71%, followed by "約翰·弗萊明" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $63.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Julia Letlow" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·弗萊明" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "路易斯安那州共和黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.