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政治·全球選舉

拉巴斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）

Market icon
政治·全球選舉

拉巴斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）

雷內·亞胡阿西·卡拉馬尼 33.1%

路易斯·安東尼奧·雷維利亞 32.9%

菲德爾·楚拉 10.5%

理查·安德烈斯·戈梅斯 9.3%

Polymarket

$11,964 交易量

雷內·亞胡阿西·卡拉馬尼 33.1%

路易斯·安東尼奧·雷維利亞 32.9%

菲德爾·楚拉 10.5%

理查·安德烈斯·戈梅斯 9.3%

Polymarket

$11,964 交易量

雷內·亞胡阿西·卡拉馬尼

$0 交易量

33%

路易斯·安東尼奧·雷維利亞

$8,378 交易量

51%

菲德爾·楚拉

$0 交易量

11%

理查·安德烈斯·戈梅斯

$1,218 交易量

9%

桑托斯·基斯佩·基斯佩

$0 交易量

9%

奧古斯托·薩圖爾尼諾·奧布利塔斯

$1,245 交易量

4%

拉斐爾·基斯佩·弗洛雷斯

$0 交易量

3%

Germán Riveros

$1,123 交易量

3%

費利克斯·帕西

$0 交易量

3%

德梅特里奧·維爾卡

$0 交易量

1%

奧蘭多·卡利薩亞

$0 交易量

<1%

瓜爾貝托·庫西

$0 交易量

<1%

英格瓦·埃勒夫森·多茲奧爾

$0 交易量

9%

克萊門特·古鐵雷斯

$0 交易量

<1%

利奧波多·理查·崔伊

$0 交易量

<1%

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election, trader consensus favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 51% implied probability for the April 19 runoff victory following the fragmented March 22 first-round results, where he secured 20% of votes—more than double challenger René Yahuasi Calamani's 9% for Nueva Generación Patriótica. Revilla, former La Paz mayor running under centre-right Patria Sol, benefits from strong urban name recognition and potential endorsements from eliminated candidates like Fidel Chura, amid a highly splintered field with no outright winner exceeding the 50%+1 threshold. Yahuasi, a 33-year-old political newcomer, gained traction with youth and regional support in El Alto but faces barriers consolidating broader coalitions before the second-round ballot. Official 100% cómputo confirmation last week solidified the matchup, driving odds toward Revilla's experience edge despite runoff uncertainties.

In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election, trader consensus favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 51% implied probability for the April 19 runoff victory following the fragmented March 22 first-round results, where he secured 20% of votes—more than double challenger René Yahuasi Calamani's 9% for Nueva Generación Patriótica. Revilla, former La Paz mayor running under centre-right Patria Sol, benefits from strong urban name recognition and potential endorsements from eliminated candidates like Fidel Chura, amid a highly splintered field with no outright winner exceeding the 50%+1 threshold. Yahuasi, a 33-year-old political newcomer, gained traction with youth and regional support in El Alto but faces barriers consolidating broader coalitions before the second-round ballot. Official 100% cómputo confirmation last week solidified the matchup, driving odds toward Revilla's experience edge despite runoff uncertainties.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election, trader consensus favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 51% implied probability for the April 19 runoff victory following the fragmented March 22 first-round results, where he secured 20% of votes—more than double challenger René Yahuasi Calamani's 9% for Nueva Generación Patriótica. Revilla, former La Paz mayor running under centre-right Patria Sol, benefits from strong urban name recognition and potential endorsements from eliminated candidates like Fidel Chura, amid a highly splintered field with no outright winner exceeding the 50%+1 threshold. Yahuasi, a 33-year-old political newcomer, gained traction with youth and regional support in El Alto but faces barriers consolidating broader coalitions before the second-round ballot. Official 100% cómputo confirmation last week solidified the matchup, driving odds toward Revilla's experience edge despite runoff uncertainties.

In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election, trader consensus favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 51% implied probability for the April 19 runoff victory following the fragmented March 22 first-round results, where he secured 20% of votes—more than double challenger René Yahuasi Calamani's 9% for Nueva Generación Patriótica. Revilla, former La Paz mayor running under centre-right Patria Sol, benefits from strong urban name recognition and potential endorsements from eliminated candidates like Fidel Chura, amid a highly splintered field with no outright winner exceeding the 50%+1 threshold. Yahuasi, a 33-year-old political newcomer, gained traction with youth and regional support in El Alto but faces barriers consolidating broader coalitions before the second-round ballot. Official 100% cómputo confirmation last week solidified the matchup, driving odds toward Revilla's experience edge despite runoff uncertainties.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"拉巴斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "路易斯·安東尼奧·雷維利亞" at 51%, followed by "雷內·亞胡阿西·卡拉馬尼" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "拉巴斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" has generated $12K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "拉巴斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "拉巴斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" is "路易斯·安東尼奧·雷維利亞" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "雷內·亞胡阿西·卡拉馬尼" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "拉巴斯州長選舉贏家（玻利維亞）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.