Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 PVI, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5%, as no Republican candidates filed by the February 13, 2026, deadline, canceling the GOP primary. This ensures the Democratic primary winner on May 16—or runoff June 27—advances unopposed to the November 3 general election under Louisiana's new closed partisan primary system. Carter, who won outright primaries in 2024 (60.3%) and 2022 (77.1%), faces only challenger Renada Collins. Realistic challenges include a late Republican qualification via minor party or independent petition despite high signature barriers (750 required, excluding major party voters), a damaging scandal hitting the Democratic nominee, or extreme national GOP midterm momentum overwhelming district fundamentals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
5%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$0 交易量
94%
共和黨
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 PVI, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5%, as no Republican candidates filed by the February 13, 2026, deadline, canceling the GOP primary. This ensures the Democratic primary winner on May 16—or runoff June 27—advances unopposed to the November 3 general election under Louisiana's new closed partisan primary system. Carter, who won outright primaries in 2024 (60.3%) and 2022 (77.1%), faces only challenger Renada Collins. Realistic challenges include a late Republican qualification via minor party or independent petition despite high signature barriers (750 required, excluding major party voters), a damaging scandal hitting the Democratic nominee, or extreme national GOP midterm momentum overwhelming district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 PVI, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5%, as no Republican candidates filed by the February 13, 2026, deadline, canceling the GOP primary. This ensures the Democratic primary winner on May 16—or runoff June 27—advances unopposed to the November 3 general election under Louisiana's new closed partisan primary system. Carter, who won outright primaries in 2024 (60.3%) and 2022 (77.1%), faces only challenger Renada Collins. Realistic challenges include a late Republican qualification via minor party or independent petition despite high signature barriers (750 required, excluding major party voters), a damaging scandal hitting the Democratic nominee, or extreme national GOP midterm momentum overwhelming district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's commanding position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 PVI, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5%, as no Republican candidates filed by the February 13, 2026, deadline, canceling the GOP primary. This ensures the Democratic primary winner on May 16—or runoff June 27—advances unopposed to the November 3 general election under Louisiana's new closed partisan primary system. Carter, who won outright primaries in 2024 (60.3%) and 2022 (77.1%), faces only challenger Renada Collins. Realistic challenges include a late Republican qualification via minor party or independent petition despite high signature barriers (750 required, excluding major party voters), a damaging scandal hitting the Democratic nominee, or extreme national GOP midterm momentum overwhelming district fundamentals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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