Central Weather Administration's latest forecasts project Taipei's highest temperature on April 8 at up to 27°C under mostly cloudy conditions, capping market-implied odds there at 25% while closely trailing 28°C at 25.5%, as traders weigh model ensemble spreads—international guidance like timeanddate.com suggests 29°C amid emerging Pacific high-pressure subsidence after heavy rains disrupted travel on April 5. Key differentiators include the ridge's northward extent, potential for partial clearing boosting insolation, and southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, against lingering frontal clouds suppressing peaks; April climatology averages 26.4°C maxima. New daily CWA updates and ECMWF/GFS runs through April 7 could refine this uncertainty before resolution via Songshan Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4月8日臺北氣溫最高?
4月8日臺北氣溫最高?
28°C 26%
27°C 25%
26°C 16%
30°C 16%
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
13%
24°C
12%
25°C
14%
26°C
16%
27°C
25%
28°C
26%
29°C
15%
30°C
16%
31°C或更高
12%
28°C 26%
27°C 25%
26°C 16%
30°C 16%
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
13%
24°C
12%
25°C
14%
26°C
16%
27°C
25%
28°C
26%
29°C
15%
30°C
16%
31°C或更高
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Central Weather Administration's latest forecasts project Taipei's highest temperature on April 8 at up to 27°C under mostly cloudy conditions, capping market-implied odds there at 25% while closely trailing 28°C at 25.5%, as traders weigh model ensemble spreads—international guidance like timeanddate.com suggests 29°C amid emerging Pacific high-pressure subsidence after heavy rains disrupted travel on April 5. Key differentiators include the ridge's northward extent, potential for partial clearing boosting insolation, and southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, against lingering frontal clouds suppressing peaks; April climatology averages 26.4°C maxima. New daily CWA updates and ECMWF/GFS runs through April 7 could refine this uncertainty before resolution via Songshan Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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