Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Seoul's highest temperature today, April 2, with 14°C (37%) edging 13°C (36.5%) amid the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast—updated April 1—projecting a 13°C peak under partly cloudy skies following yesterday's nationwide spring rain. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 12–14°C range, driven by lingering unstable atmospheric conditions, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and variable afternoon cloud cover that could limit solar heating or allow a 1°C upside if skies clear. Differentiating factors include hourly insolation rates and urban heat effects at Seoul's official observation station; KMA's 5 PM update and real-time data will clarify the peak before resolution based on verified maximum reading. Early April climatology averages 13–15°C highs, underscoring the razor-thin model spread fueling balanced odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
14°C 44%
13°C 38%
15°C 14%
16°C or higher 8.7%
$197,560 交易量
$197,560 交易量
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
38%
14°C
44%
15°C
14%
16°C or higher
9%
14°C 44%
13°C 38%
15°C 14%
16°C or higher 8.7%
$197,560 交易量
$197,560 交易量
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
38%
14°C
44%
15°C
14%
16°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Seoul's highest temperature today, April 2, with 14°C (37%) edging 13°C (36.5%) amid the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast—updated April 1—projecting a 13°C peak under partly cloudy skies following yesterday's nationwide spring rain. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 12–14°C range, driven by lingering unstable atmospheric conditions, light westerly winds around 5–10 km/h, and variable afternoon cloud cover that could limit solar heating or allow a 1°C upside if skies clear. Differentiating factors include hourly insolation rates and urban heat effects at Seoul's official observation station; KMA's 5 PM update and real-time data will clarify the peak before resolution based on verified maximum reading. Early April climatology averages 13–15°C highs, underscoring the razor-thin model spread fueling balanced odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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