Trader consensus favors 15°C (54%) and 14°C (33%) as the highest temperature in Seoul today, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast updated April 1, which projects daytime highs of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing limited convective activity and modest diurnal heating potential after cooler-than-average overnight lows around 6–9°C observed early April 2. An earlier March 30 KMA mid-term outlook had indicated 16°C, but revised runs accounting for persistent upper-level troughing and frontal remnants shifted implied probabilities downward, capping 16°C+ at 14.6%. Historical early April highs in Seoul average 15–16°C, though interannual variability from East Asian jet stream positioning adds uncertainty; track KMA hourly station data at Seoul Observatory through late afternoon for peak realization.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
15°C 57%
14°C 26%
16°C or higher 19.9%
7°C <1%
$271,952 交易量
$271,952 交易量
2026-04-02
7°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
26%
15°C
57%
16°C or higher
20%
15°C 57%
14°C 26%
16°C or higher 19.9%
7°C <1%
$271,952 交易量
$271,952 交易量
2026-04-02
7°C
$8,970 交易量
<1%
10°C
$26,539 交易量
<1%
11°C
$43,722 交易量
<1%
12°C
$30,177 交易量
<1%
13°C
$40,394 交易量
<1%
14°C
$14,380 交易量
26%
15°C
$16,457 交易量
57%
16°C or higher
$26,513 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 15°C (54%) and 14°C (33%) as the highest temperature in Seoul today, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast updated April 1, which projects daytime highs of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing limited convective activity and modest diurnal heating potential after cooler-than-average overnight lows around 6–9°C observed early April 2. An earlier March 30 KMA mid-term outlook had indicated 16°C, but revised runs accounting for persistent upper-level troughing and frontal remnants shifted implied probabilities downward, capping 16°C+ at 14.6%. Historical early April highs in Seoul average 15–16°C, though interannual variability from East Asian jet stream positioning adds uncertainty; track KMA hourly station data at Seoul Observatory through late afternoon for peak realization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
交易量
$271,952結束日期
2026-04-02市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 15°C (54%) and 14°C (33%) as the highest temperature in Seoul today, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast updated April 1, which projects daytime highs of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing limited convective activity and modest diurnal heating potential after cooler-than-average overnight lows around 6–9°C observed early April 2. An earlier March 30 KMA mid-term outlook had indicated 16°C, but revised runs accounting for persistent upper-level troughing and frontal remnants shifted implied probabilities downward, capping 16°C+ at 14.6%. Historical early April highs in Seoul average 15–16°C, though interannual variability from East Asian jet stream positioning adds uncertainty; track KMA hourly station data at Seoul Observatory through late afternoon for peak realization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$271,952結束日期
2026-04-02市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETTrader consensus favors 15°C (54%) and 14°C (33%) as the highest temperature in Seoul today, reflecting the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast updated April 1, which projects daytime highs of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. Global model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS align closely, showing limited convective activity and modest diurnal heating potential after cooler-than-average overnight lows around 6–9°C observed early April 2. An earlier March 30 KMA mid-term outlook had indicated 16°C, but revised runs accounting for persistent upper-level troughing and frontal remnants shifted implied probabilities downward, capping 16°C+ at 14.6%. Historical early April highs in Seoul average 15–16°C, though interannual variability from East Asian jet stream positioning adds uncertainty; track KMA hourly station data at Seoul Observatory through late afternoon for peak realization.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions