Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a tight consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 around 23-25°C, driving trader sentiment with roughly equal 21% implied probabilities for each outcome amid minimal model spread of about ±2°C. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting subsidence warming and light southerly winds advecting milder Mediterranean air, while urban heat island effects in Milan could nudge peaks higher. Above climatological early-April averages of 17-19°C, the setup favors mild conditions with partly cloudy skies limiting full insolation. Key differentiators include exact afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing; new 12Z model runs expected within hours may refine probabilities before resolution via official Milano Linate Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 8?
23°C 24%
24°C 23%
25°C 16%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
24%
24°C
23%
25°C
23%
26°C
20%
27°C
12%
28°C or higher
5%
23°C 24%
24°C 23%
25°C 16%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
18°C or below
$444 交易量
1%
19°C
$347 交易量
2%
20°C
$235 交易量
2%
21°C
$30 交易量
5%
22°C
$48 交易量
13%
23°C
$33 交易量
24%
24°C
$54 交易量
23%
25°C
$73 交易量
23%
26°C
$97 交易量
20%
27°C
$9 交易量
12%
28°C or higher
$81 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a tight consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 around 23-25°C, driving trader sentiment with roughly equal 21% implied probabilities for each outcome amid minimal model spread of about ±2°C. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting subsidence warming and light southerly winds advecting milder Mediterranean air, while urban heat island effects in Milan could nudge peaks higher. Above climatological early-April averages of 17-19°C, the setup favors mild conditions with partly cloudy skies limiting full insolation. Key differentiators include exact afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing; new 12Z model runs expected within hours may refine probabilities before resolution via official Milano Linate Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$1,449結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a tight consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 around 23-25°C, driving trader sentiment with roughly equal 21% implied probabilities for each outcome amid minimal model spread of about ±2°C. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting subsidence warming and light southerly winds advecting milder Mediterranean air, while urban heat island effects in Milan could nudge peaks higher. Above climatological early-April averages of 17-19°C, the setup favors mild conditions with partly cloudy skies limiting full insolation. Key differentiators include exact afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing; new 12Z model runs expected within hours may refine probabilities before resolution via official Milano Linate Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,449結束日期
2026-04-08市場開放時間
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show a tight consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 around 23-25°C, driving trader sentiment with roughly equal 21% implied probabilities for each outcome amid minimal model spread of about ±2°C. This reflects a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe, promoting subsidence warming and light southerly winds advecting milder Mediterranean air, while urban heat island effects in Milan could nudge peaks higher. Above climatological early-April averages of 17-19°C, the setup favors mild conditions with partly cloudy skies limiting full insolation. Key differentiators include exact afternoon cloud cover timing and boundary layer mixing; new 12Z model runs expected within hours may refine probabilities before resolution via official Milano Linate Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions