Latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area anticipates a cooling trend into April 5 due to an approaching cold front ushering showers and thunderstorms late this week, with ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converging on daytime highs of 68-73°F under partly cloudy skies and northeast winds. This trader consensus—reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 68-71°F outcomes—stems from recent refinements in model runs accounting for frontal timing uncertainty, potential cloud cover limiting peak heating, and dry antecedent conditions from North Texas's record-warm March (average 67.6°F) and ongoing drought per NOAA spring outlook. Historical April highs average 77°F, but current atmospheric patterns favor moderation; watch daily NWS updates and 12z model cycles for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 20%
72-73°F 20%
66-67°F 15%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
20%
74°F or higher
15%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 20%
72-73°F 20%
66-67°F 15%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
20%
74°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service guidance for the Dallas-Fort Worth area anticipates a cooling trend into April 5 due to an approaching cold front ushering showers and thunderstorms late this week, with ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models converging on daytime highs of 68-73°F under partly cloudy skies and northeast winds. This trader consensus—reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 68-71°F outcomes—stems from recent refinements in model runs accounting for frontal timing uncertainty, potential cloud cover limiting peak heating, and dry antecedent conditions from North Texas's record-warm March (average 67.6°F) and ongoing drought per NOAA spring outlook. Historical April highs average 77°F, but current atmospheric patterns favor moderation; watch daily NWS updates and 12z model cycles for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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