Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 1 (99.6% implied probability), backed by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting exactly that amid overcast skies turning to light rain, with hourly peaks of 22–23°C in the afternoon at Shuangliu International Airport. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on this tight 23–24°C range, as persistent cloud cover sharply reduces insolation—solar radiation reaching the surface—while light precipitation further cools boundary layer air in line with early April climatological norms of 20–23°C daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before evening, allowing brief solar heating spikes, or an unanticipated warm air advection; however, current observations tracking 20–22°C midday reinforce model stability, with CMA updates expected through resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
24°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$95,895 交易量
$95,895 交易量
2026-04-01
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
$95,895 交易量
$95,895 交易量
2026-04-01
24°C
$8,652 交易量
100%
25°C
$14,044 交易量
<1%
26°C
$7,861 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$8,295 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 1 (99.6% implied probability), backed by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting exactly that amid overcast skies turning to light rain, with hourly peaks of 22–23°C in the afternoon at Shuangliu International Airport. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on this tight 23–24°C range, as persistent cloud cover sharply reduces insolation—solar radiation reaching the surface—while light precipitation further cools boundary layer air in line with early April climatological norms of 20–23°C daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before evening, allowing brief solar heating spikes, or an unanticipated warm air advection; however, current observations tracking 20–22°C midday reinforce model stability, with CMA updates expected through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
交易量
$95,895結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 1 (99.6% implied probability), backed by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting exactly that amid overcast skies turning to light rain, with hourly peaks of 22–23°C in the afternoon at Shuangliu International Airport. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on this tight 23–24°C range, as persistent cloud cover sharply reduces insolation—solar radiation reaching the surface—while light precipitation further cools boundary layer air in line with early April climatological norms of 20–23°C daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before evening, allowing brief solar heating spikes, or an unanticipated warm air advection; however, current observations tracking 20–22°C midday reinforce model stability, with CMA updates expected through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$95,895結束日期
2026-04-01市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C in Chengdu on April 1 (99.6% implied probability), backed by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting exactly that amid overcast skies turning to light rain, with hourly peaks of 22–23°C in the afternoon at Shuangliu International Airport. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on this tight 23–24°C range, as persistent cloud cover sharply reduces insolation—solar radiation reaching the surface—while light precipitation further cools boundary layer air in line with early April climatological norms of 20–23°C daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before evening, allowing brief solar heating spikes, or an unanticipated warm air advection; however, current observations tracking 20–22°C midday reinforce model stability, with CMA updates expected through resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions