Trader consensus in the Georgia Republican gubernatorial primary favors health care executive Rick Jackson at 55.5% implied probability, driven by his late entry surge in March polls—such as JMC Analytics showing him at 37% versus Lt. Gov. Burt Jones's 22%—bolstered by over $50 million in self-funding dominating airwaves and drawing large crowds. Jones holds steady at 28.5% on President Trump's early endorsement and legislative record, despite intra-party attacks over past associations. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger lingers at 13%, hampered by GOP base distrust from 2020 election certification disputes. A televised debate between Jackson and Jones, agreed April 2, looms as a pivotal event before the May 19 primary.