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政治·House Primary

GA-11 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·House Primary

GA-11 Republican Primary Winner

Rob Adkerson 50%

Tricia Pridemore 42%

John Hobbs 7%

Lisa Carlquist 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Rob Adkerson 50%

Tricia Pridemore 42%

John Hobbs 7%

Lisa Carlquist 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Rob Adkerson

$0 交易量

50%

Tricia Pridemore

$311 交易量

42%

John Hobbs

$0 交易量

7%

Lisa Carlquist

$0 交易量

6%

William Brown

$127 交易量

5%

John Cowan

$0 交易量

5%

Uloma Ekpete Kama

$115 交易量

5%

Chris Mora

$0 交易量

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Republican primary for Georgia's 11th Congressional District on May 19, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field of eight candidates with no public polls to establish a frontrunner, keeping top probabilities tightly clustered around 40% for Lisa Carlquist, Chris Mora, John Cowan, and John Hobbs. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee and Bartow counties on March 20 and 24 drew multiple contenders but failed to create separation, while targeted endorsements—Veterans for America First backing Carlquist on March 13 and Georgia Republican Assembly endorsing Mora days ago—bolstered their positions without decisive momentum. Limited early fundraising visibility, with only Mora reporting under $10,000 raised as of late 2025, underscores uncertainty; surges in next FEC filings, high-profile endorsements, or strong early voting turnout could tip the balance toward a runoff on June 16.

In the open-seat Republican primary for Georgia's 11th Congressional District on May 19, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field of eight candidates with no public polls to establish a frontrunner, keeping top probabilities tightly clustered around 40% for Lisa Carlquist, Chris Mora, John Cowan, and John Hobbs. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee and Bartow counties on March 20 and 24 drew multiple contenders but failed to create separation, while targeted endorsements—Veterans for America First backing Carlquist on March 13 and Georgia Republican Assembly endorsing Mora days ago—bolstered their positions without decisive momentum. Limited early fundraising visibility, with only Mora reporting under $10,000 raised as of late 2025, underscores uncertainty; surges in next FEC filings, high-profile endorsements, or strong early voting turnout could tip the balance toward a runoff on June 16.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Republican primary for Georgia's 11th Congressional District on May 19, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field of eight candidates with no public polls to establish a frontrunner, keeping top probabilities tightly clustered around 40% for Lisa Carlquist, Chris Mora, John Cowan, and John Hobbs. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee and Bartow counties on March 20 and 24 drew multiple contenders but failed to create separation, while targeted endorsements—Veterans for America First backing Carlquist on March 13 and Georgia Republican Assembly endorsing Mora days ago—bolstered their positions without decisive momentum. Limited early fundraising visibility, with only Mora reporting under $10,000 raised as of late 2025, underscores uncertainty; surges in next FEC filings, high-profile endorsements, or strong early voting turnout could tip the balance toward a runoff on June 16.

In the open-seat Republican primary for Georgia's 11th Congressional District on May 19, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field of eight candidates with no public polls to establish a frontrunner, keeping top probabilities tightly clustered around 40% for Lisa Carlquist, Chris Mora, John Cowan, and John Hobbs. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee and Bartow counties on March 20 and 24 drew multiple contenders but failed to create separation, while targeted endorsements—Veterans for America First backing Carlquist on March 13 and Georgia Republican Assembly endorsing Mora days ago—bolstered their positions without decisive momentum. Limited early fundraising visibility, with only Mora reporting under $10,000 raised as of late 2025, underscores uncertainty; surges in next FEC filings, high-profile endorsements, or strong early voting turnout could tip the balance toward a runoff on June 16.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-11 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rob Adkerson" at 50%, followed by "Tricia Pridemore" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GA-11 Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GA-11 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-11 Republican Primary Winner" is "Rob Adkerson" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tricia Pridemore" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-11 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.