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選舉·主要

MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者

傑瑞米·莫斯 79%

安迪·萊文 11%

艾莎·法魯奇 4.5%

戴夫·伍德沃德 2.9%

Polymarket
最新

傑瑞米·莫斯 79%

安迪·萊文 11%

艾莎·法魯奇 4.5%

戴夫·伍德沃德 2.9%

Polymarket
最新

傑瑞米·莫斯

$1,543 交易量

79%

安迪·萊文

$2,648 交易量

11%

艾莎·法魯奇

$5,467 交易量

4%

戴夫·伍德沃德

$0 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss leads Polymarket trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, reflecting his commanding fundraising edge—$510,263 cash on hand as of late 2025, far ahead of rivals like Don Ufford ($355,618)—bolstered by endorsements from Governor Gretchen Whitmer and LGBTQ Victory Fund. As Senate President Pro Tem, Moss benefits from establishment support in the open seat vacated by Haley Stevens' Senate bid, positioning him as the pragmatic frontrunner in this Oakland County battleground. Former Rep. Andy Levin trails at 11.5% on lingering name recognition from his 2022 primary loss, while Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and Oakland County Commissioner Dave Woodward (2.8%) draw limited progressive and local backing amid no recent polls or major catalysts in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$9,659
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss leads Polymarket trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, reflecting his commanding fundraising edge—$510,263 cash on hand as of late 2025, far ahead of rivals like Don Ufford ($355,618)—bolstered by endorsements from Governor Gretchen Whitmer and LGBTQ Victory Fund. As Senate President Pro Tem, Moss benefits from establishment support in the open seat vacated by Haley Stevens' Senate bid, positioning him as the pragmatic frontrunner in this Oakland County battleground. Former Rep. Andy Levin trails at 11.5% on lingering name recognition from his 2022 primary loss, while Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and Oakland County Commissioner Dave Woodward (2.8%) draw limited progressive and local backing amid no recent polls or major catalysts in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$9,659
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑瑞米·莫斯" at 79%, followed by "安迪·萊文" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" is "傑瑞米·莫斯" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "安迪·萊文" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.