Skip to main content
Market icon
選舉·主要

MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·主要

MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者

傑瑞米·莫斯 80%

Don Ufford 22%

安迪·萊文 9%

艾莎·法魯奇 7.3%

Polymarket

$13,245 交易量

傑瑞米·莫斯 80%

Don Ufford 22%

安迪·萊文 9%

艾莎·法魯奇 7.3%

Polymarket

$13,245 交易量

傑瑞米·莫斯

$4,952 交易量

80%

Don Ufford

$0 交易量

22%

安迪·萊文

$2,660 交易量

9%

艾莎·法魯奇

$5,467 交易量

7%

戴夫·伍德沃德

$166 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senate President Pro Tem Jeremy Moss leads trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability in the open MI-11 Democratic primary, fueled by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's November 2025 endorsement, his leadership role, and becoming the first candidate to submit ballot petitions on April 14 with over 50 volunteers signaling superior organization ahead of the August 4 contest. Former Ford engineer Don Ufford trails at 22% after a strong third-quarter 2025 fundraising quarter that briefly closed the gap, positioning him as a viable challenger despite past Republican affiliations. Ex-Rep. Andy Levin lingers at 11% on name recognition from his 2022 primary loss, while attorney Aisha Farooqi (7.3%) and Oakland County Commission Chair Dave Woodward (2.7%), facing local controversies, remain longshots absent major momentum shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$13,245
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senate President Pro Tem Jeremy Moss leads trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability in the open MI-11 Democratic primary, fueled by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's November 2025 endorsement, his leadership role, and becoming the first candidate to submit ballot petitions on April 14 with over 50 volunteers signaling superior organization ahead of the August 4 contest. Former Ford engineer Don Ufford trails at 22% after a strong third-quarter 2025 fundraising quarter that briefly closed the gap, positioning him as a viable challenger despite past Republican affiliations. Ex-Rep. Andy Levin lingers at 11% on name recognition from his 2022 primary loss, while attorney Aisha Farooqi (7.3%) and Oakland County Commission Chair Dave Woodward (2.7%), facing local controversies, remain longshots absent major momentum shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$13,245
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑瑞米·莫斯" at 80%, followed by "Don Ufford" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $13.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" is "傑瑞米·莫斯" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Don Ufford" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-11民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.