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政治·主要

UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者

內特·布盧因 50%

Ben McAdams 45%

凱瑟琳·裡貝 1.7%

Brian King 1.1%

Polymarket

$11,834 交易量

內特·布盧因 50%

Ben McAdams 45%

凱瑟琳·裡貝 1.7%

Brian King 1.1%

Polymarket

$11,834 交易量

內特·布盧因

$2,002 交易量

50%

Ben McAdams

$5,506 交易量

45%

凱瑟琳·裡貝

$0 交易量

2%

Brian King

$0 交易量

1%

珍妮·威爾森

$0 交易量

1%

盧茲·艾斯卡米拉

$0 交易量

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$3,924 交易量

1%

Kael Weston

$0 交易量

<1%

卡羅琳·格萊奇

$402 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's new deep-blue 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between state Sen. Nate Blouin (49.5%) and former Rep. Ben McAdams (46%), driven by a March Data for Progress poll showing McAdams ahead 36%-23% initially due to name recognition, but flipping to Blouin 40%-39% on an informed ballot amid 25% undecideds. Blouin's progressive edge—bolstered by endorsements from Bernie Sanders, Pramila Jayapal, and the Congressional Progressive Caucus—fuels enthusiasm among left-leaning voters in the Salt Lake City-heavy district, offsetting McAdams' fundraising lead and moderate appeal. The race stays tight on turnout dynamics and undecided swings; the Utah Democratic State Convention April 24-25 or new polls could tip probabilities ahead of the June 23 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,834
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Utah's new deep-blue 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between state Sen. Nate Blouin (49.5%) and former Rep. Ben McAdams (46%), driven by a March Data for Progress poll showing McAdams ahead 36%-23% initially due to name recognition, but flipping to Blouin 40%-39% on an informed ballot amid 25% undecideds. Blouin's progressive edge—bolstered by endorsements from Bernie Sanders, Pramila Jayapal, and the Congressional Progressive Caucus—fuels enthusiasm among left-leaning voters in the Salt Lake City-heavy district, offsetting McAdams' fundraising lead and moderate appeal. The race stays tight on turnout dynamics and undecided swings; the Utah Democratic State Convention April 24-25 or new polls could tip probabilities ahead of the June 23 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,834
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "內特·布盧因" at 50%, followed by "Ben McAdams" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $11.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is "內特·布盧因" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ben McAdams" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.