Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 90.5% to win Georgia's 8th Congressional District House seat due to its strong Republican lean—rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report with a partisan voting index around R+16—and incumbent Austin Scott's unchallenged reelection path. The March 7 candidate qualification deadline saw Scott enter the May 19 Republican primary with minimal opposition, while only two Democrats, including recent entrants like a Hartsfield pastor and Navy veteran Dr. Esti, have filed, posing no credible threat in this rural, conservative battleground stretching from Valdosta to Macon. Scenarios that could shift odds include a primary upset, major GOP scandal, high-profile Democratic recruit, or a national anti-incumbent midterm wave favoring Democrats on November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$14,657 交易量
$14,657 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
91%
民主黨
8%
$14,657 交易量
$14,657 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$3,912 交易量
91%
民主黨
$10,745 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 90.5% to win Georgia's 8th Congressional District House seat due to its strong Republican lean—rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report with a partisan voting index around R+16—and incumbent Austin Scott's unchallenged reelection path. The March 7 candidate qualification deadline saw Scott enter the May 19 Republican primary with minimal opposition, while only two Democrats, including recent entrants like a Hartsfield pastor and Navy veteran Dr. Esti, have filed, posing no credible threat in this rural, conservative battleground stretching from Valdosta to Macon. Scenarios that could shift odds include a primary upset, major GOP scandal, high-profile Democratic recruit, or a national anti-incumbent midterm wave favoring Democrats on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$14,657結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 90.5% to win Georgia's 8th Congressional District House seat due to its strong Republican lean—rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report with a partisan voting index around R+16—and incumbent Austin Scott's unchallenged reelection path. The March 7 candidate qualification deadline saw Scott enter the May 19 Republican primary with minimal opposition, while only two Democrats, including recent entrants like a Hartsfield pastor and Navy veteran Dr. Esti, have filed, posing no credible threat in this rural, conservative battleground stretching from Valdosta to Macon. Scenarios that could shift odds include a primary upset, major GOP scandal, high-profile Democratic recruit, or a national anti-incumbent midterm wave favoring Democrats on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,657結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 90.5% to win Georgia's 8th Congressional District House seat due to its strong Republican lean—rated Solid R by the Cook Political Report with a partisan voting index around R+16—and incumbent Austin Scott's unchallenged reelection path. The March 7 candidate qualification deadline saw Scott enter the May 19 Republican primary with minimal opposition, while only two Democrats, including recent entrants like a Hartsfield pastor and Navy veteran Dr. Esti, have filed, posing no credible threat in this rural, conservative battleground stretching from Valdosta to Macon. Scenarios that could shift odds include a primary upset, major GOP scandal, high-profile Democratic recruit, or a national anti-incumbent midterm wave favoring Democrats on November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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