Market icon
政治·特朗普

愛潑斯坦或麥克斯韋在6月30日之前確認了摩薩德特工？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

愛潑斯坦或麥克斯韋在6月30日之前確認了摩薩德特工？

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$18,770 交易量

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$18,770 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad. Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.7% for Epstein or Maxwell being confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30, driven by the absence of any official acknowledgment from US or Israeli intelligence agencies despite February 2026 declassifications of Epstein files citing an unverified FBI confidential human source alleging spy training under Ehud Barak and debriefings via Alan Dershowitz. Israeli officials, including Benjamin Netanyahu, have distanced themselves from such claims, echoing prior denials like Naftali Bennett's in 2025, while Ghislaine Maxwell's DOJ transcripts indicate she did not view Epstein as intelligence-linked. Covert operational confirmations face high procedural barriers, with no scheduled hearings or declassifications imminent; only extraordinary leaks or admissions could shift odds in the remaining three months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.

Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$18,770
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Feb 2, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad. Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad. Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.7% for Epstein or Maxwell being confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30, driven by the absence of any official acknowledgment from US or Israeli intelligence agencies despite February 2026 declassifications of Epstein files citing an unverified FBI confidential human source alleging spy training under Ehud Barak and debriefings via Alan Dershowitz. Israeli officials, including Benjamin Netanyahu, have distanced themselves from such claims, echoing prior denials like Naftali Bennett's in 2025, while Ghislaine Maxwell's DOJ transcripts indicate she did not view Epstein as intelligence-linked. Covert operational confirmations face high procedural barriers, with no scheduled hearings or declassifications imminent; only extraordinary leaks or admissions could shift odds in the remaining three months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.

Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$18,770
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Feb 2, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad. Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"愛潑斯坦或麥克斯韋在6月30日之前確認了摩薩德特工？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "截至6月30日，愛潑斯坦或麥克斯維爾已被確認為摩薩德特工嗎？" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "愛潑斯坦或麥克斯韋在6月30日之前確認了摩薩德特工？" has generated $18.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "愛潑斯坦或麥克斯韋在6月30日之前確認了摩薩德特工？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "愛潑斯坦或麥克斯韋在6月30日之前確認了摩薩德特工？" is "截至6月30日，愛潑斯坦或麥克斯維爾已被確認為摩薩德特工嗎？" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "愛潑斯坦或麥克斯韋在6月30日之前確認了摩薩德特工？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.