Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-279 total posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, 2026, with 240-259 and 260-279 each at 16.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent daily pace of 30-39 posts amid an uptick late last week—39 on March 31 alone after 38 the prior day. This competitive dynamic stems from Musk's variable posting habits, ranging from 18 to 39 recently, fueled by viral engagements on Tesla FSD updates, SpaceX heat shield progress, and political commentary, against a rolling seven-day average of 241. Key differentiators include potential spikes from upcoming company announcements or public statements, which could push toward 280+ if momentum holds, versus quieter periods reverting to sub-30 daily norms; resolution hinges on real-time event-driven bursts over the next six days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於240-259 17%
260-279 16%
280-299 15%
220-239 14%
$4,131,602 交易量
$4,131,602 交易量
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200-219
8%
220-239
14%
240-259
17%
260-279
16%
280-299
15%
300-319
13%
320-339
7%
340-359
4%
360-379
3%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 17%
260-279 16%
280-299 15%
220-239 14%
$4,131,602 交易量
$4,131,602 交易量
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200-219
8%
220-239
14%
240-259
17%
260-279
16%
280-299
15%
300-319
13%
320-339
7%
340-359
4%
360-379
3%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-279 total posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, 2026, with 240-259 and 260-279 each at 16.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent daily pace of 30-39 posts amid an uptick late last week—39 on March 31 alone after 38 the prior day. This competitive dynamic stems from Musk's variable posting habits, ranging from 18 to 39 recently, fueled by viral engagements on Tesla FSD updates, SpaceX heat shield progress, and political commentary, against a rolling seven-day average of 241. Key differentiators include potential spikes from upcoming company announcements or public statements, which could push toward 280+ if momentum holds, versus quieter periods reverting to sub-30 daily norms; resolution hinges on real-time event-driven bursts over the next six days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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