Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Aubry Bracco at an 83.5% implied probability to win Survivor 50, driven by persistent spoiler leaks from the pre-taped season that have solidified her as the frontrunner among the 24 returning players, outpacing Cirie Fields (7.6%) and distant longshots like Rizo Velovic (2.0%). This skin-in-the-game sentiment, echoed on Kalshi, reflects insider-informed trading rather than on-air gameplay, as recent episode 6's dramatic Blood Moon twist—a historic triple elimination of Kamilla Karthigesu, Genevieve Mushaluk, and Colby Donaldson—trimmed the merge field to 14 without shifting odds. With 10 episodes typically left to the finale, late blindsides or edit misdirection remain upset risks, but markets show unwavering Aubry momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於倖存者50贏家
倖存者50贏家
奧布里·布拉科 84%
Cirie Fields 7.6%
Rizo Velovic 2.1%
Joe Hunter 1.5%
$802,916 交易量
$802,916 交易量
奧布里·布拉科
84%
Cirie Fields
8%
Rizo Velovic
2%
Joe Hunter
2%
奧齊·勒斯特
1%
強納森·楊
1%
班傑明「教練」韋德
1%
史蒂芬妮·拉格羅薩·肯德里克
1%
Christian Hubicki
1%
卡蜜拉·卡蒂蓋蘇
<1%
Charlie Davis
<1%
Dee Valladares
<1%
Emily Flippen
<1%
Jenna Lewis-Dougherty
<1%
Mike White
<1%
Angelina Keeley
<1%
Genevieve Mushaluk
<1%
Quintavius「Q」Burdette
<1%
蒂芙尼·妮可·歐文
<1%
Chrissy Hofbeck
<1%
Rick Devens
<1%
Savannah Louie
<1%
Colby Donaldson
<1%
凱爾·弗雷澤
<1%
奧布里·布拉科 84%
Cirie Fields 7.6%
Rizo Velovic 2.1%
Joe Hunter 1.5%
$802,916 交易量
$802,916 交易量
奧布里·布拉科
84%
Cirie Fields
8%
Rizo Velovic
2%
Joe Hunter
2%
奧齊·勒斯特
1%
強納森·楊
1%
班傑明「教練」韋德
1%
史蒂芬妮·拉格羅薩·肯德里克
1%
Christian Hubicki
1%
卡蜜拉·卡蒂蓋蘇
<1%
Charlie Davis
<1%
Dee Valladares
<1%
Emily Flippen
<1%
Jenna Lewis-Dougherty
<1%
Mike White
<1%
Angelina Keeley
<1%
Genevieve Mushaluk
<1%
Quintavius「Q」Burdette
<1%
蒂芙尼·妮可·歐文
<1%
Chrissy Hofbeck
<1%
Rick Devens
<1%
Savannah Louie
<1%
Colby Donaldson
<1%
凱爾·弗雷澤
<1%
If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
市場開放時間: Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Aubry Bracco at an 83.5% implied probability to win Survivor 50, driven by persistent spoiler leaks from the pre-taped season that have solidified her as the frontrunner among the 24 returning players, outpacing Cirie Fields (7.6%) and distant longshots like Rizo Velovic (2.0%). This skin-in-the-game sentiment, echoed on Kalshi, reflects insider-informed trading rather than on-air gameplay, as recent episode 6's dramatic Blood Moon twist—a historic triple elimination of Kamilla Karthigesu, Genevieve Mushaluk, and Colby Donaldson—trimmed the merge field to 14 without shifting odds. With 10 episodes typically left to the finale, late blindsides or edit misdirection remain upset risks, but markets show unwavering Aubry momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions