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政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？

Apr 1

May 1

Jun 1

Apr 1

May 1

Jun 1

1400-1439 11.2%

1320-1359 10.3%

1360-1399 9.8%

1440-1479 9.2%

Polymarket

$4,403,143 交易量

1400-1439 11.2%

1320-1359 10.3%

1360-1399 9.8%

1440-1479 9.2%

Polymarket

$4,403,143 交易量

少於20

$112,370 交易量

<1%

20-39

$0 交易量

<1%

40-59

$34,110 交易量

<1%

60-79

$0 交易量

<1%

80-99

$0 交易量

<1%

100-119

$22,284 交易量

<1%

120-139

$0 交易量

<1%

140-159

$0 交易量

<1%

160-179

$35,069 交易量

<1%

180-199

$35,998 交易量

<1%

200-219

$0 交易量

<1%

220-239

$0 交易量

<1%

240-259

$39,845 交易量

<1%

260-279

$24,729 交易量

<1%

280-299

$67,895 交易量

<1%

300-319

$30,925 交易量

<1%

320-339

$25,616 交易量

<1%

340-359

$32,424 交易量

<1%

360-379

$32,423 交易量

<1%

380-399

$36,019 交易量

<1%

400-419

$21,000 交易量

<1%

420-439

$15,643 交易量

<1%

440-459

$26,728 交易量

<1%

460-479

$11,236 交易量

<1%

480-499

$18,091 交易量

<1%

500-519

$85,626 交易量

<1%

520-539

$58,679 交易量

<1%

540-559

$55,060 交易量

<1%

560-579

$67,529 交易量

<1%

580-599

$72,045 交易量

<1%

600-619

$58,371 交易量

<1%

620-639

$89,007 交易量

<1%

640-659

$79,844 交易量

<1%

660-679

$119,066 交易量

<1%

680-699

$28,440 交易量

<1%

700-719

$48,870 交易量

<1%

720-739

$38,050 交易量

<1%

740-759

$8,786 交易量

<1%

760-779

$27,920 交易量

<1%

780-799

$33,145 交易量

<1%

800-839

$20,034 交易量

1%

840-879

$21,142 交易量

<1%

880-919

$129,069 交易量

1%

920-959

$38,671 交易量

2%

960-999

$27,701 交易量

1%

1000-1039

$28,194 交易量

2%

1040-1079

$81,091 交易量

1%

1080-1119

$52,621 交易量

3%

1120-1159

$102,648 交易量

3%

1160-1199

$262,733 交易量

4%

1200-1239

$156,478 交易量

5%

1240-1279

$74,386 交易量

5%

1280-1319

$158,815 交易量

8%

1320-1359

$229,867 交易量

10%

1360-1399

$206,315 交易量

10%

1400-1439

$510,942 交易量

11%

1440-1479

$74,171 交易量

9%

1480-1519

$65,720 交易量

8%

1520-1559

$82,171 交易量

6%

1560-1599

$102,108 交易量

6%

1600-1679

$97,034 交易量

2%

1680-1759

$135,251 交易量

3%

1760-1839

$92,699 交易量

2%

1840-1919

$137,502 交易量

3%

1920-1999

$11,219 交易量

1%

2000條以上

$11,717 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2026 clusters tightly around 1320-1439 posts at roughly 30% combined implied probability, mirroring his March pacing where short-term markets resolved to elevated ranges like 65-89 tweets over March 26-28 and 340-359 for March 3-10, averaging 40-45 daily amid Tesla FSD advancements and political commentary spikes. This closely contested field among top bins underscores competitive dynamics driven by Musk's variable posting—peaks exceeding 100 daily during viral moments like Starship factory buzz, offset by quieter stretches—setting up key differentiators like potential April product reveals or cultural controversies that could push toward 1400+ or pull below 1300. With 30 days ahead, watch for engagement surges on X to sway the skin-in-the-game crowd.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2026 clusters tightly around 1320-1439 posts at roughly 30% combined implied probability, mirroring his March pacing where short-term markets resolved to elevated ranges like 65-89 tweets over March 26-28 and 340-359 for March 3-10, averaging 40-45 daily amid Tesla FSD advancements and political commentary spikes. This closely contested field among top bins underscores competitive dynamics driven by Musk's variable posting—peaks exceeding 100 daily during viral moments like Starship factory buzz, offset by quieter stretches—setting up key differentiators like potential April product reveals or cultural controversies that could push toward 1400+ or pull below 1300. With 30 days ahead, watch for engagement surges on X to sway the skin-in-the-game crowd.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2026 clusters tightly around 1320-1439 posts at roughly 30% combined implied probability, mirroring his March pacing where short-term markets resolved to elevated ranges like 65-89 tweets over March 26-28 and 340-359 for March 3-10, averaging 40-45 daily amid Tesla FSD advancements and political commentary spikes. This closely contested field among top bins underscores competitive dynamics driven by Musk's variable posting—peaks exceeding 100 daily during viral moments like Starship factory buzz, offset by quieter stretches—setting up key differentiators like potential April product reveals or cultural controversies that could push toward 1400+ or pull below 1300. With 30 days ahead, watch for engagement surges on X to sway the skin-in-the-game crowd.

Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2026 clusters tightly around 1320-1439 posts at roughly 30% combined implied probability, mirroring his March pacing where short-term markets resolved to elevated ranges like 65-89 tweets over March 26-28 and 340-359 for March 3-10, averaging 40-45 daily amid Tesla FSD advancements and political commentary spikes. This closely contested field among top bins underscores competitive dynamics driven by Musk's variable posting—peaks exceeding 100 daily during viral moments like Starship factory buzz, offset by quieter stretches—setting up key differentiators like potential April product reveals or cultural controversies that could push toward 1400+ or pull below 1300. With 30 days ahead, watch for engagement surges on X to sway the skin-in-the-game crowd.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1400-1439" at 11%, followed by "1320-1359" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" has generated $4.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" is "1400-1439" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1320-1359" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年4月# tweets ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.