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政治·主要

CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者

曼尼·魯提內爾 74%

香農·伯德 24%

雅迪拉·卡拉維歐 1.8%

戴夫·楊 1.0%

Polymarket
最新

曼尼·魯提內爾 74%

香農·伯德 24%

雅迪拉·卡拉維歐 1.8%

戴夫·楊 1.0%

Polymarket
最新

曼尼·魯提內爾

$6,968 交易量

74%

香農·伯德

$926 交易量

24%

雅迪拉·卡拉維歐

$346 交易量

2%

戴夫·楊

$556 交易量

1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$626 交易量

1%

約翰·塞姆勒

$403 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's commanding 75% implied probability in the CO-08 Democratic primary stems from his strong performance at the March 28-29 Democratic state assembly in Pueblo, where he secured ballot access via 30%+ delegate support—unlike rivals Shannon Bird and others who petitioned—signaling insider party backing. His April 2 announcement of $950,000 raised in Q1 from 60,000 donors underscores fundraising dominance, while NRCC opposition research released March 9 backfired by elevating his frontrunner status. Former Rep. Shannon Bird holds 23.5% with endorsements like Majority Leader Monica Duran’s and a record as Colorado’s most effective lawmaker, but trails in momentum. Incumbent GOP Rep. Gabe Evans holds the battleground seat; ballots mail June 8 ahead of the June 30 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$9,826
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's commanding 75% implied probability in the CO-08 Democratic primary stems from his strong performance at the March 28-29 Democratic state assembly in Pueblo, where he secured ballot access via 30%+ delegate support—unlike rivals Shannon Bird and others who petitioned—signaling insider party backing. His April 2 announcement of $950,000 raised in Q1 from 60,000 donors underscores fundraising dominance, while NRCC opposition research released March 9 backfired by elevating his frontrunner status. Former Rep. Shannon Bird holds 23.5% with endorsements like Majority Leader Monica Duran’s and a record as Colorado’s most effective lawmaker, but trails in momentum. Incumbent GOP Rep. Gabe Evans holds the battleground seat; ballots mail June 8 ahead of the June 30 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$9,826
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "曼尼·魯提內爾" at 74%, followed by "香農·伯德" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is "曼尼·魯提內爾" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "香農·伯德" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.