加州州長選舉獲勝者

Name: 加州州長選舉獲勝者
Start: 2025-10-09T23:36:09.952Z
End: 2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z

加州州長選舉獲勝者 — 討論

10G · 2025-10-09T23:36:09.952Z

關於加州州長選舉獲勝者的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

選舉·美國大選

加州州長選舉獲勝者

埃里克·斯沃韋爾 64%

湯姆·斯泰爾 11.4%

史蒂夫·希爾頓 9.0%

馬特·馬漢 8%

$8,162,599 交易量

2026-11-03

埃里克·斯沃韋爾

$118,594 交易量

64%

湯姆·斯泰爾

$2,636,391 交易量

11%

史蒂夫·希爾頓

$762,024 交易量

馬特·馬漢

$169,529 交易量

查德·比安科

$673,557 交易量

凱蒂·波特

$599,074 交易量

伊蓮·庫洛蒂

$56,708 交易量

安東尼奧·維拉瑞戈薩

$63,423 交易量

Leo Zacky

$146,725 交易量

<1%

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$130,246 交易量

<1%

亞歷克斯·帕迪利亞

$228,894 交易量

<1%

Butch Ware

$124,116 交易量

<1%

托尼·阿特金斯

$179,871 交易量

<1%

Rick Caruso

$255,795 交易量

<1%

史蒂芬·克魯貝克

$118,557 交易量

<1%

貝蒂·易

$87,731 交易量

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$315,921 交易量

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$116,409 交易量

<1%

哈維爾·貝塞拉

$294,121 交易量

<1%

邁克爾·楊格

$239,453 交易量

<1%

Kyle Langford

$503,135 交易量

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$179,069 交易量

<1%

妮可·沙納漢

$163,289 交易量

<1%

埃里克·斯沃韋爾 64%

湯姆·斯泰爾 11.4%

史蒂夫·希爾頓 9.0%

馬特·馬漢 8%

$8,162,599 交易量

2026-11-03

埃里克·斯沃韋爾

$118,594 交易量

64%

湯姆·斯泰爾

$2,636,391 交易量

11%

史蒂夫·希爾頓

$762,024 交易量

馬特·馬漢

$169,529 交易量

查德·比安科

$673,557 交易量

凱蒂·波特

$599,074 交易量

伊蓮·庫洛蒂

$56,708 交易量

安東尼奧·維拉瑞戈薩

$63,423 交易量

Leo Zacky

$146,725 交易量

<1%

卡馬拉·哈里斯

$130,246 交易量

<1%

亞歷克斯·帕迪利亞

$228,894 交易量

<1%

Butch Ware

$124,116 交易量

<1%

托尼·阿特金斯

$179,871 交易量

<1%

Rick Caruso

$255,795 交易量

<1%

史蒂芬·克魯貝克

$118,557 交易量

<1%

貝蒂·易

$87,731 交易量

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$315,921 交易量

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$116,409 交易量

<1%

哈維爾·貝塞拉

$294,121 交易量

<1%

邁克爾·楊格

$239,453 交易量

<1%

Kyle Langford

$503,135 交易量

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$179,069 交易量

<1%

妮可·沙納漢

$163,289 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"加州州長選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "埃里克·斯沃韋爾" at 64%, followed by "湯姆·斯泰爾" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "加州州長選舉獲勝者" has generated $8.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "加州州長選舉獲勝者," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "加州州長選舉獲勝者" is "埃里克·斯沃韋爾" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "湯姆·斯泰爾" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "加州州長選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "加州州長選舉獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $8.2 million traded on “加州州長選舉獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "加州州長選舉獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 64¢ for "埃里克·斯沃韋爾" in the "加州州長選舉獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 64% chance that "埃里克·斯沃韋爾" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 64¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 36¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "加州州長選舉獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Nov 3, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "加州州長選舉獲勝者" market has an active community of 18 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "加州州長選舉獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

加州州長選舉獲勝者

加州州長選舉獲勝者

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (18)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "加州州長選舉獲勝者" prediction market?

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What does a price of 64¢ for "埃里克·斯沃韋爾" mean?

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