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選舉·世界選舉

保加利亞總統選舉

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

保加利亞總統選舉

伊莉安娜·約托娃 42%

尼科萊·登科夫 23%

羅森·日利亞茲科夫 12%

博伊科·鮑里索夫 7.1%

Polymarket

$59,984 交易量

伊莉安娜·約托娃 42%

尼科萊·登科夫 23%

羅森·日利亞茲科夫 12%

博伊科·鮑里索夫 7.1%

Polymarket

$59,984 交易量

Market icon

伊莉安娜·約托娃

$31,674 交易量

42%

Market icon

尼科萊·登科夫

$2,822 交易量

23%

Market icon

羅森·日利亞茲科夫

$15,733 交易量

12%

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博伊科·鮑里索夫

$1,320 交易量

7%

Market icon

亞納基·斯托伊洛夫

$1,409 交易量

6%

Market icon

羅森·普萊夫內利夫

$752 交易量

6%

Market icon

布拉戈米爾·科採夫

$1,763 交易量

4%

Market icon

阿塔納斯·阿塔納索夫

$640 交易量

4%

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科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪諾夫

$925 交易量

1%

Market icon

瓦西爾·特爾齊耶夫

$813 交易量

1%

Market icon

克魯姆·扎爾科夫

$695 交易量

1%

Market icon

德利揚·佩夫斯基

$733 交易量

1%

Market icon

娜塔莉亞·基謝洛娃

$705 交易量

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability as acting president following Rumen Radev's January 2026 resignation to launch Progressive Bulgaria, now topping parliamentary polls at around 30% ahead of April 19 snap elections—Bulgaria's eighth in five years amid chronic instability. Her incumbency and alignment with Radev's populist base bolster her edge in the fall presidential vote, where no candidate has declared formally. Nikolai Denkov follows at 23%, drawing reformist support from PP-DB amid coalition talks, while Rosen Zhelyazkov at 11.5% reflects GERB's steady base under Boyko Borissov. Recent Gallup and Alpha Research surveys highlight fragmented opposition, emphasizing incumbency advantage and voter fatigue as key drivers.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$59,984
結束日期
2026-11-30
市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability as acting president following Rumen Radev's January 2026 resignation to launch Progressive Bulgaria, now topping parliamentary polls at around 30% ahead of April 19 snap elections—Bulgaria's eighth in five years amid chronic instability. Her incumbency and alignment with Radev's populist base bolster her edge in the fall presidential vote, where no candidate has declared formally. Nikolai Denkov follows at 23%, drawing reformist support from PP-DB amid coalition talks, while Rosen Zhelyazkov at 11.5% reflects GERB's steady base under Boyko Borissov. Recent Gallup and Alpha Research surveys highlight fragmented opposition, emphasizing incumbency advantage and voter fatigue as key drivers.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$59,984
結束日期
2026-11-30
市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"保加利亞總統選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "伊莉安娜·約托娃" at 42%, followed by "尼科萊·登科夫" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "保加利亞總統選舉" has generated $60K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "保加利亞總統選舉," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "保加利亞總統選舉" is "伊莉安娜·約托娃" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "尼科萊·登科夫" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "保加利亞總統選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.