Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading contender for the largest vote share in Berlin's September 20 state election, driven by its consistent 22% showing in late February polls from INSA and Civey—five to six points ahead of a fragmented field where SPD, Grüne, Die Linke, and AfD hover at 15-17%. This stability persists amid no major shifts in March Sonntagsfragen, underscoring CDU's incumbency advantage in the current CDU-SPD coalition despite voter fatigue over housing and urban issues. National CDU momentum under Friedrich Merz, bolstered by gains in recent Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg Landtagswahlen, further solidifies positioning, while multiparty competition limits challengers' paths to overtaking. Upcoming campaign dynamics and potential referendums could influence trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於基民盟 53%
綠黨 12.0%
Linke 11%
SPD 10.1%
$2,535,552 交易量
$2,535,552 交易量
Sep 20, 2026
基民盟
53%
綠黨
12%
Linke
11%
SPD
10%
AfD
7%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
基民盟 53%
綠黨 12.0%
Linke 11%
SPD 10.1%
$2,535,552 交易量
$2,535,552 交易量
Sep 20, 2026
基民盟
$9,294 交易量
53%
綠黨
$23,306 交易量
12%
Linke
$8,381 交易量
11%
SPD
$285,211 交易量
10%
AfD
$2,176,555 交易量
7%
BSW
$18,789 交易量
1%
FDP
$8,859 交易量
<1%
FW
$5,157 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading contender for the largest vote share in Berlin's September 20 state election, driven by its consistent 22% showing in late February polls from INSA and Civey—five to six points ahead of a fragmented field where SPD, Grüne, Die Linke, and AfD hover at 15-17%. This stability persists amid no major shifts in March Sonntagsfragen, underscoring CDU's incumbency advantage in the current CDU-SPD coalition despite voter fatigue over housing and urban issues. National CDU momentum under Friedrich Merz, bolstered by gains in recent Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg Landtagswahlen, further solidifies positioning, while multiparty competition limits challengers' paths to overtaking. Upcoming campaign dynamics and potential referendums could influence trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市場開放時間： Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$2,535,552結束日期
Sep 20, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading contender for the largest vote share in Berlin's September 20 state election, driven by its consistent 22% showing in late February polls from INSA and Civey—five to six points ahead of a fragmented field where SPD, Grüne, Die Linke, and AfD hover at 15-17%. This stability persists amid no major shifts in March Sonntagsfragen, underscoring CDU's incumbency advantage in the current CDU-SPD coalition despite voter fatigue over housing and urban issues. National CDU momentum under Friedrich Merz, bolstered by gains in recent Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg Landtagswahlen, further solidifies positioning, while multiparty competition limits challengers' paths to overtaking. Upcoming campaign dynamics and potential referendums could influence trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$2,535,552結束日期
Sep 20, 2026市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading contender for the largest vote share in Berlin's September 20 state election, driven by its consistent 22% showing in late February polls from INSA and Civey—five to six points ahead of a fragmented field where SPD, Grüne, Die Linke, and AfD hover at 15-17%. This stability persists amid no major shifts in March Sonntagsfragen, underscoring CDU's incumbency advantage in the current CDU-SPD coalition despite voter fatigue over housing and urban issues. National CDU momentum under Friedrich Merz, bolstered by gains in recent Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg Landtagswahlen, further solidifies positioning, while multiparty competition limits challengers' paths to overtaking. Upcoming campaign dynamics and potential referendums could influence trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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