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政治·世界選舉

阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家

Market icon
政治·世界選舉

阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家

印度人民黨（BJP） 94%

印度國民大會黨（INC） 3.5%

印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%

阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP） <1%

Polymarket

$10,753 交易量

印度人民黨（BJP） 94%

印度國民大會黨（INC） 3.5%

印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%

阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP） <1%

Polymarket

$10,753 交易量

Market icon

印度人民黨（BJP）

$2,199 交易量

94%

Market icon

印度國民大會黨（INC）

$1,390 交易量

4%

Market icon

印度共產黨（馬克思主義）

$748 交易量

1%

Market icon

阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP）

$676 交易量

1%

Market icon

全印度聯合民主陣線（AIUDF）

$1,087 交易量

1%

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博多蘭人民陣線（BPF）

$1,159 交易量

1%

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印度共產黨（CPI）

$902 交易量

1%

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NPEP

$940 交易量

1%

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全國國民大會黨（NCP）

$818 交易量

1%

Market icon

全印度草根大眾會 (AITC)

$834 交易量

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus prices a BJP victory at 93.5% implied probability for the Assam assembly election, reflecting recent opinion polls like the IANS-Matrize survey projecting an NDA landslide of 96-98 seats out of 126, driven by incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity and welfare schemes targeting women and tea garden workers. Finalized NDA seat-sharing with allies AGP and BPF in late March stabilized the coalition, while the opposition Asom Sonmilito Morcha struggles with fragmentation despite recent realignments. Polling occurs in a single phase on April 9, with counting on May 4. Upsets could arise from opposition vote consolidation in minority constituencies or unforeseen turnout surges, though current evidence points to BJP dominance.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
交易量
$10,753
結束日期
2026-04-09
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus prices a BJP victory at 93.5% implied probability for the Assam assembly election, reflecting recent opinion polls like the IANS-Matrize survey projecting an NDA landslide of 96-98 seats out of 126, driven by incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity and welfare schemes targeting women and tea garden workers. Finalized NDA seat-sharing with allies AGP and BPF in late March stabilized the coalition, while the opposition Asom Sonmilito Morcha struggles with fragmentation despite recent realignments. Polling occurs in a single phase on April 9, with counting on May 4. Upsets could arise from opposition vote consolidation in minority constituencies or unforeseen turnout surges, though current evidence points to BJP dominance.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
交易量
$10,753
結束日期
2026-04-09
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "印度人民黨（BJP）" at 94%, followed by "印度國民大會黨（INC）" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家" is "印度人民黨（BJP）" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "印度國民大會黨（INC）" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.