Alabama's 6th Congressional District, a solid Republican stronghold encompassing Birmingham suburbs like Hoover, favors the GOP at 91.5% trader consensus for the House election winner, anchored by incumbent Rep. Gary Palmer's re-election campaign after qualifying in January. With primaries set for May 19, Palmer faces limited primary opposition from Case Dixon, while Democrats have nominated low-profile Keith Pilkington for the general election on November 3. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent debates over primary voting changes, have altered the outlook, reflecting historical GOP margins over 30 points. Scenarios like a contentious GOP primary runoff, Palmer scandal, or national Democratic wave could challenge this dominance, though structural advantages persist.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$5,872 交易量
92%
Democratic Party
$3,146 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 6th Congressional District, a solid Republican stronghold encompassing Birmingham suburbs like Hoover, favors the GOP at 91.5% trader consensus for the House election winner, anchored by incumbent Rep. Gary Palmer's re-election campaign after qualifying in January. With primaries set for May 19, Palmer faces limited primary opposition from Case Dixon, while Democrats have nominated low-profile Keith Pilkington for the general election on November 3. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent debates over primary voting changes, have altered the outlook, reflecting historical GOP margins over 30 points. Scenarios like a contentious GOP primary runoff, Palmer scandal, or national Democratic wave could challenge this dominance, though structural advantages persist.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$9,018結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 6th Congressional District, a solid Republican stronghold encompassing Birmingham suburbs like Hoover, favors the GOP at 91.5% trader consensus for the House election winner, anchored by incumbent Rep. Gary Palmer's re-election campaign after qualifying in January. With primaries set for May 19, Palmer faces limited primary opposition from Case Dixon, while Democrats have nominated low-profile Keith Pilkington for the general election on November 3. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent debates over primary voting changes, have altered the outlook, reflecting historical GOP margins over 30 points. Scenarios like a contentious GOP primary runoff, Palmer scandal, or national Democratic wave could challenge this dominance, though structural advantages persist.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,018結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 6th Congressional District, a solid Republican stronghold encompassing Birmingham suburbs like Hoover, favors the GOP at 91.5% trader consensus for the House election winner, anchored by incumbent Rep. Gary Palmer's re-election campaign after qualifying in January. With primaries set for May 19, Palmer faces limited primary opposition from Case Dixon, while Democrats have nominated low-profile Keith Pilkington for the general election on November 3. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent debates over primary voting changes, have altered the outlook, reflecting historical GOP margins over 30 points. Scenarios like a contentious GOP primary runoff, Palmer scandal, or national Democratic wave could challenge this dominance, though structural advantages persist.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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