Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 58.5% probability Apple secures second-largest market cap by April's end, anchored by its ~$2.95 trillion valuation and resilient share price amid broader tech sector rotation, with Microsoft firmly entrenched at #1 around $3.15 trillion. Alphabet's 34% odds reflect robust Q1 results showing 15% revenue growth in search advertising and Google Cloud expansion, positioning it for gains if Apple or Nvidia falter on volatility. Nvidia's slim 3% chance stems from traders doubting it can close the $100 billion gap to Apple despite recent AI-fueled rallies exceeding 10% weekly gains. Fading probabilities for Microsoft (2.8%), Tesla (1.1% post-earnings miss), Saudi Aramco (0.8%), and Amazon (0.7%) highlight limited near-term catalysts before resolution, underscoring skin-in-the-game skepticism on rapid overtakes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Apple 59%
Alphabet 34%
NVIDIA 3.0%
Microsoft 2.8%
$287,861 交易量
$287,861 交易量

Apple
59%

Alphabet
34%

NVIDIA
3%

Microsoft
3%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%

Amazon
1%
Apple 59%
Alphabet 34%
NVIDIA 3.0%
Microsoft 2.8%
$287,861 交易量
$287,861 交易量

Apple
59%

Alphabet
34%

NVIDIA
3%

Microsoft
3%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
1%

Amazon
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 58.5% probability Apple secures second-largest market cap by April's end, anchored by its ~$2.95 trillion valuation and resilient share price amid broader tech sector rotation, with Microsoft firmly entrenched at #1 around $3.15 trillion. Alphabet's 34% odds reflect robust Q1 results showing 15% revenue growth in search advertising and Google Cloud expansion, positioning it for gains if Apple or Nvidia falter on volatility. Nvidia's slim 3% chance stems from traders doubting it can close the $100 billion gap to Apple despite recent AI-fueled rallies exceeding 10% weekly gains. Fading probabilities for Microsoft (2.8%), Tesla (1.1% post-earnings miss), Saudi Aramco (0.8%), and Amazon (0.7%) highlight limited near-term catalysts before resolution, underscoring skin-in-the-game skepticism on rapid overtakes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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