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政治·大型科技公司

誰將完成對華納兄弟的收購？

Market icon
政治·大型科技公司

誰將完成對華納兄弟的收購？

派拉蒙 78%

截至2027年6月30日無 20%

Netflix <1%

康卡斯特 <1%

Polymarket

$972,025 交易量

派拉蒙 78%

截至2027年6月30日無 20%

Netflix <1%

康卡斯特 <1%

Polymarket

$972,025 交易量

派拉蒙

$433,921 交易量

78%

截至2027年6月30日無

$152,915 交易量

20%

Netflix

$213,550 交易量

<1%

康卡斯特

$171,639 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Paramount at 78% implied probability for closing the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, driven by the company's February 2026 revised $110.9 billion superior proposal—valuing shares at $31 each—which Warner Bros. Discovery's board unanimously accepted over prior Netflix and Comcast bids after Netflix declined to counter. Key recent developments include Netflix's withdrawal with a $2.8 billion breakup fee, Paramount's official merger announcement targeting Q3 2026 closure via combined HBO Max-Paramount+ streaming, and Warner Bros. Discovery scheduling a shareholder vote for April 23, 2026. The 19.5% on "None by June 30, 2027" reflects antitrust scrutiny risks and regulatory hurdles, while Netflix and Comcast odds remain negligible post-bidding exits. A ticking fee incentivizes timely closure if delayed past September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
交易量
$972,025
結束日期
2027-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors Paramount at 78% implied probability for closing the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, driven by the company's February 2026 revised $110.9 billion superior proposal—valuing shares at $31 each—which Warner Bros. Discovery's board unanimously accepted over prior Netflix and Comcast bids after Netflix declined to counter. Key recent developments include Netflix's withdrawal with a $2.8 billion breakup fee, Paramount's official merger announcement targeting Q3 2026 closure via combined HBO Max-Paramount+ streaming, and Warner Bros. Discovery scheduling a shareholder vote for April 23, 2026. The 19.5% on "None by June 30, 2027" reflects antitrust scrutiny risks and regulatory hurdles, while Netflix and Comcast odds remain negligible post-bidding exits. A ticking fee incentivizes timely closure if delayed past September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
交易量
$972,025
結束日期
2027-06-30
市場開放時間
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將完成對華納兄弟的收購？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "派拉蒙" at 78%, followed by "截至2027年6月30日無" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將完成對華納兄弟的收購？" has generated $972K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將完成對華納兄弟的收購？," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將完成對華納兄弟的收購？" is "派拉蒙" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "截至2027年6月30日無" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將完成對華納兄弟的收購？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.