Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory over challenger Robert Chick in the March 3, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 89% odds for a GOP hold in Texas's 26th Congressional District, an R+11 seat where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly advanced with 51% in his primary against Ernest Lineberger III, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $3 million fundraising edge and the district's history of Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent generals. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings from Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Republican, markets reflect low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election barring scandals or national wave shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-26 House Election Winner
TX-26 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,522 Обс.
89%
Democratic Party
$3,241 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory over challenger Robert Chick in the March 3, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 89% odds for a GOP hold in Texas's 26th Congressional District, an R+11 seat where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly advanced with 51% in his primary against Ernest Lineberger III, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $3 million fundraising edge and the district's history of Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent generals. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings from Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Republican, markets reflect low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election barring scandals or national wave shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,763Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory over challenger Robert Chick in the March 3, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 89% odds for a GOP hold in Texas's 26th Congressional District, an R+11 seat where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly advanced with 51% in his primary against Ernest Lineberger III, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $3 million fundraising edge and the district's history of Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent generals. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings from Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Republican, markets reflect low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election barring scandals or national wave shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,763Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory over challenger Robert Chick in the March 3, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 89% odds for a GOP hold in Texas's 26th Congressional District, an R+11 seat where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly advanced with 51% in his primary against Ernest Lineberger III, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $3 million fundraising edge and the district's history of Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent generals. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings from Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Republican, markets reflect low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election barring scandals or national wave shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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