The strong Republican lean of Minnesota's 7th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured her party's endorsement in April 2026 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Democratic primary contenders including Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg compete in a district that has consistently elected Republicans since 2020. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current endorsements indicate significant structural barriers to an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-07 House Election Winner
MN-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$827 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$3,891 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Minnesota's 7th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured her party's endorsement in April 2026 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Democratic primary contenders including Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg compete in a district that has consistently elected Republicans since 2020. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current endorsements indicate significant structural barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,718Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Minnesota's 7th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured her party's endorsement in April 2026 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Democratic primary contenders including Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg compete in a district that has consistently elected Republicans since 2020. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current endorsements indicate significant structural barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$4,718Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Minnesota's 7th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in the prior presidential contest, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Michelle Fischbach secured her party's endorsement in April 2026 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Democratic primary contenders including Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg compete in a district that has consistently elected Republicans since 2020. Late developments such as an unexpected scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current endorsements indicate significant structural barriers to an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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