Morena's commanding position in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market stems from its 2024 supermajority in the Chamber of Deputies, control of the Senate through defections, and dominance of state governorships under President Claudia Sheinbaum. The party has further strengthened its standing by securing aligned candidates in the 2025 judicial elections across federal courts. Internal party efforts to maintain coalition discipline with PVEM and PT ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 lower house seats, combined with a fragmented opposition, underpin trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could arise from major economic pressures, coalition defections, or unified opposition coordination in the year leading to the election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMorena 97.6%
PVEM 1.4%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$39,840 Обс.
$39,840 Обс.
Jun 6, 2027
Morena
98%
PVEM
1%
PRI
1%
MC
1%
PAN
<1%
PT
<1%
Morena 97.6%
PVEM 1.4%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$39,840 Обс.
$39,840 Обс.
Jun 6, 2027
Morena
$14,975 Обс.
98%
PVEM
$5,003 Обс.
1%
PRI
$4,208 Обс.
1%
MC
$6,706 Обс.
1%
PAN
$4,456 Обс.
<1%
PT
$4,492 Обс.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena's commanding position in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market stems from its 2024 supermajority in the Chamber of Deputies, control of the Senate through defections, and dominance of state governorships under President Claudia Sheinbaum. The party has further strengthened its standing by securing aligned candidates in the 2025 judicial elections across federal courts. Internal party efforts to maintain coalition discipline with PVEM and PT ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 lower house seats, combined with a fragmented opposition, underpin trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could arise from major economic pressures, coalition defections, or unified opposition coordination in the year leading to the election.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$39,840Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena's commanding position in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market stems from its 2024 supermajority in the Chamber of Deputies, control of the Senate through defections, and dominance of state governorships under President Claudia Sheinbaum. The party has further strengthened its standing by securing aligned candidates in the 2025 judicial elections across federal courts. Internal party efforts to maintain coalition discipline with PVEM and PT ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 lower house seats, combined with a fragmented opposition, underpin trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could arise from major economic pressures, coalition defections, or unified opposition coordination in the year leading to the election.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Обсяг
$39,840Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena's commanding position in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market stems from its 2024 supermajority in the Chamber of Deputies, control of the Senate through defections, and dominance of state governorships under President Claudia Sheinbaum. The party has further strengthened its standing by securing aligned candidates in the 2025 judicial elections across federal courts. Internal party efforts to maintain coalition discipline with PVEM and PT ahead of the June 2027 vote for all 500 lower house seats, combined with a fragmented opposition, underpin trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts could arise from major economic pressures, coalition defections, or unified opposition coordination in the year leading to the election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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