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icon for Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін

Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін

icon for Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін

Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін

СДП 37%

Зелені 21.8%

Ліві 20%

АдН 18.4%

Polymarket

$2,613,451 Обс.

СДП 37%

Зелені 21.8%

Ліві 20%

АдН 18.4%

Polymarket

$2,613,451 Обс.

icon for СДП

СДП

$19,216 Обс.

37%

icon for Зелені

Зелені

$42,679 Обс.

22%

icon for Ліві

Ліві

$15,465 Обс.

20%

icon for АдН

АдН

$2,195,559 Обс.

18%

icon for СДПН

СДПН

$292,088 Обс.

7%

icon for BSW

BSW

$28,426 Обс.

<1%

icon for ВДП

ВДП

$11,709 Обс.

<1%

icon for FW

FW

$8,310 Обс.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Recent Infratest dimap polling from late April shows CDU holding a narrow 19% lead over Grüne, Die Linke, and AfD clustered at 18% each in the race for the largest share in Berlin's September 20 state parliament election, with SPD trailing at 14%. This tight four-way contest for first place under proportional representation drives trader consensus pricing CDU as the frontrunner at 36.5% implied probability, bolstered by the incumbency advantage of Governing Mayor Kai Wegner in the CDU-SPD grand coalition amid the party's national momentum. Grüne, Die Linke, and AfD follow closely at 21.8%, 20%, and 18.4%, reflecting their polling surge, while SPD's decline to 6.7% stems from coalition fatigue and weaker national standing; no major shifts have occurred in the past week, keeping focus on campaign dynamics ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Обсяг
$2,613,451
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Recent Infratest dimap polling from late April shows CDU holding a narrow 19% lead over Grüne, Die Linke, and AfD clustered at 18% each in the race for the largest share in Berlin's September 20 state parliament election, with SPD trailing at 14%. This tight four-way contest for first place under proportional representation drives trader consensus pricing CDU as the frontrunner at 36.5% implied probability, bolstered by the incumbency advantage of Governing Mayor Kai Wegner in the CDU-SPD grand coalition amid the party's national momentum. Grüne, Die Linke, and AfD follow closely at 21.8%, 20%, and 18.4%, reflecting their polling surge, while SPD's decline to 6.7% stems from coalition fatigue and weaker national standing; no major shifts have occurred in the past week, keeping focus on campaign dynamics ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Обсяг
$2,613,451
Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «СДП» з 37%, далі «Зелені» з 22%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін» згенерував $2.6 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 2, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін» — «СДП» з 37%. Наступний — «Зелені» з 22%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.