Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading outcome in the Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead amid a fragmented field under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's black-red coalition since 2023. The latest INSA poll on April 14 shows CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD tied at 17%, with Grüne and Die Linke at 15% each, reinforcing the party's incumbency edge despite the senate's low approval ratings. Recent trends indicate a slight CDU dip and SPD gains, heightening contestation, while AfD's steady rise poses a challenge but falls short of overtaking. Poll averages place CDU at 21.5%, underscoring skin-in-the-game bets on its path to most seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus, though coalition negotiations loom post-vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець виборів у штаті Берлін
Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін
СДП 52%
Зелені 14.5%
АдН 12.2%
Ліві 11%
$2,576,056 Обс.
$2,576,056 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
СДП
52%
Зелені
14%
АдН
12%
Ліві
11%
СДПН
7%
BSW
<1%
ВДП
<1%
FW
<1%
СДП 52%
Зелені 14.5%
АдН 12.2%
Ліві 11%
$2,576,056 Обс.
$2,576,056 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
СДП
$15,649 Обс.
52%
Зелені
$28,161 Обс.
14%
АдН
$2,188,240 Обс.
12%
Ліві
$11,847 Обс.
11%
СДПН
$287,717 Обс.
7%
BSW
$26,556 Обс.
<1%
ВДП
$10,566 Обс.
<1%
FW
$7,318 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading outcome in the Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead amid a fragmented field under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's black-red coalition since 2023. The latest INSA poll on April 14 shows CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD tied at 17%, with Grüne and Die Linke at 15% each, reinforcing the party's incumbency edge despite the senate's low approval ratings. Recent trends indicate a slight CDU dip and SPD gains, heightening contestation, while AfD's steady rise poses a challenge but falls short of overtaking. Poll averages place CDU at 21.5%, underscoring skin-in-the-game bets on its path to most seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus, though coalition negotiations loom post-vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Ринок відкрито: Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,576,056Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading outcome in the Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead amid a fragmented field under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's black-red coalition since 2023. The latest INSA poll on April 14 shows CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD tied at 17%, with Grüne and Die Linke at 15% each, reinforcing the party's incumbency edge despite the senate's low approval ratings. Recent trends indicate a slight CDU dip and SPD gains, heightening contestation, while AfD's steady rise poses a challenge but falls short of overtaking. Poll averages place CDU at 21.5%, underscoring skin-in-the-game bets on its path to most seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus, though coalition negotiations loom post-vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Обсяг
$2,576,056Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the CDU as the leading outcome in the Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead amid a fragmented field under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's black-red coalition since 2023. The latest INSA poll on April 14 shows CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD tied at 17%, with Grüne and Die Linke at 15% each, reinforcing the party's incumbency edge despite the senate's low approval ratings. Recent trends indicate a slight CDU dip and SPD gains, heightening contestation, while AfD's steady rise poses a challenge but falls short of overtaking. Poll averages place CDU at 21.5%, underscoring skin-in-the-game bets on its path to most seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus, though coalition negotiations loom post-vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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