Recent defections of senior leaders from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have narrowed the contest ahead of the September 14, 2026, Bangsamoro Parliament election, with BFP gaining Comelec designation as the dominant minority party. These shifts, occurring through mid-July, reflect realignments among regional political figures and have positioned BFP as the trader consensus leader at 52 percent implied probability. UBJP, the party tied to the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, retains its majority designation but trails at 43 percent amid the exodus. With 40 party-list seats at stake in the first regular parliamentary vote, the tight pricing underscores uncertainty over final vote shares, as campaign activities intensify and security preparations continue across BARMM provinces.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоBFP 52%
UBJP 43%
DTLO 3.0%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY 1.1%
$70,022 Обс.
$70,022 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
BFP
52%
UBJP
43%
DTLO
3%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
1%
ROHOSUPA
1%
Election Postponed/Canceled
1%
BGC
1%
BEST PARTY
1%
BAPA
1%
C4P
1%
ISLPI
1%
LBIAA
<1%
MAHARDIKA
<1%
RSEU
<1%
THE ROYALS
<1%
ROHOSUMA
<1%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
<1%
ABOT
<1%
ISAMA
<1%
MORO AKO
<1%
MUSHAWARA
<1%
PBB
<1%
TPWC
<1%
RSL
<1%
BFP 52%
UBJP 43%
DTLO 3.0%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY 1.1%
$70,022 Обс.
$70,022 Обс.
Sep 14, 2026
BFP
$12,755 Обс.
52%
UBJP
$43,921 Обс.
43%
DTLO
$537 Обс.
3%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
$523 Обс.
1%
ROHOSUPA
$600 Обс.
1%
Election Postponed/Canceled
$714 Обс.
1%
BGC
$673 Обс.
1%
BEST PARTY
$643 Обс.
1%
BAPA
$672 Обс.
1%
C4P
$620 Обс.
1%
ISLPI
$602 Обс.
1%
LBIAA
$762 Обс.
<1%
MAHARDIKA
$541 Обс.
<1%
RSEU
$543 Обс.
<1%
THE ROYALS
$526 Обс.
<1%
ROHOSUMA
$971 Обс.
<1%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
$566 Обс.
<1%
ABOT
$605 Обс.
<1%
ISAMA
$605 Обс.
<1%
MORO AKO
$605 Обс.
<1%
MUSHAWARA
$635 Обс.
<1%
PBB
$524 Обс.
<1%
TPWC
$466 Обс.
<1%
RSL
$412 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent defections of senior leaders from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have narrowed the contest ahead of the September 14, 2026, Bangsamoro Parliament election, with BFP gaining Comelec designation as the dominant minority party. These shifts, occurring through mid-July, reflect realignments among regional political figures and have positioned BFP as the trader consensus leader at 52 percent implied probability. UBJP, the party tied to the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, retains its majority designation but trails at 43 percent amid the exodus. With 40 party-list seats at stake in the first regular parliamentary vote, the tight pricing underscores uncertainty over final vote shares, as campaign activities intensify and security preparations continue across BARMM provinces.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Обсяг
$70,022Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).Recent defections of senior leaders from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have narrowed the contest ahead of the September 14, 2026, Bangsamoro Parliament election, with BFP gaining Comelec designation as the dominant minority party. These shifts, occurring through mid-July, reflect realignments among regional political figures and have positioned BFP as the trader consensus leader at 52 percent implied probability. UBJP, the party tied to the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, retains its majority designation but trails at 43 percent amid the exodus. With 40 party-list seats at stake in the first regular parliamentary vote, the tight pricing underscores uncertainty over final vote shares, as campaign activities intensify and security preparations continue across BARMM provinces.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Обсяг
$70,022Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent defections of senior leaders from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have narrowed the contest ahead of the September 14, 2026, Bangsamoro Parliament election, with BFP gaining Comelec designation as the dominant minority party. These shifts, occurring through mid-July, reflect realignments among regional political figures and have positioned BFP as the trader consensus leader at 52 percent implied probability. UBJP, the party tied to the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, retains its majority designation but trails at 43 percent amid the exodus. With 40 party-list seats at stake in the first regular parliamentary vote, the tight pricing underscores uncertainty over final vote shares, as campaign activities intensify and security preparations continue across BARMM provinces.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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