**Auyl holds a strong lead in trader pricing for second place in Kazakhstan’s August 23 Kurultai election, reflecting its consistent positioning as the leading non-Adilet contender.** Recent July polls from multiple institutes show Adilet (the pro-presidential formation) dominating first place with 60–70% support, while Auyl trails in the mid-single digits but ahead of Respublica, Aq Jol, the People’s Party (QHP), and smaller registered parties. Auyl’s 10.9% and eight seats from the 2023 Mazhilis vote, combined with its agrarian focus and completed candidate-list registration, underpin the market’s assessment. With only days until voting and no major campaign disruptions reported after the July nomination period, traders see limited scope for other parties to overtake Auyl for runner-up status. The market’s 80% implied probability on Auyl aligns with these polling baselines and the structural advantages of incumbency from the prior legislature.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
Auyl 80%
Aq Jol 11.3%
Respublica 9%
JSDP 1.4%
$80,833 Обс.
$80,833 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
Auyl
80%
Aq Jol
11%
Respublica
9%
JSDP
1%
QHP
1%
Adilet
<1%
Baytaq
<1%
Auyl 80%
Aq Jol 11.3%
Respublica 9%
JSDP 1.4%
$80,833 Обс.
$80,833 Обс.
Aug 23, 2026
Auyl
$55,132 Обс.
80%
Aq Jol
$10,552 Обс.
11%
Respublica
$5,107 Обс.
9%
JSDP
$4,225 Обс.
1%
QHP
$3,078 Обс.
1%
Adilet
$1,146 Обс.
<1%
Baytaq
$1,592 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.**Auyl holds a strong lead in trader pricing for second place in Kazakhstan’s August 23 Kurultai election, reflecting its consistent positioning as the leading non-Adilet contender.**
Recent July polls from multiple institutes show Adilet (the pro-presidential formation) dominating first place with 60–70% support, while Auyl trails in the mid-single digits but ahead of Respublica, Aq Jol, the People’s Party (QHP), and smaller registered parties. Auyl’s 10.9% and eight seats from the 2023 Mazhilis vote, combined with its agrarian focus and completed candidate-list registration, underpin the market’s assessment.
With only days until voting and no major campaign disruptions reported after the July nomination period, traders see limited scope for other parties to overtake Auyl for runner-up status. The market’s 80% implied probability on Auyl aligns with these polling baselines and the structural advantages of incumbency from the prior legislature.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Обсяг
$80,833Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.**Auyl holds a strong lead in trader pricing for second place in Kazakhstan’s August 23 Kurultai election, reflecting its consistent positioning as the leading non-Adilet contender.**
Recent July polls from multiple institutes show Adilet (the pro-presidential formation) dominating first place with 60–70% support, while Auyl trails in the mid-single digits but ahead of Respublica, Aq Jol, the People’s Party (QHP), and smaller registered parties. Auyl’s 10.9% and eight seats from the 2023 Mazhilis vote, combined with its agrarian focus and completed candidate-list registration, underpin the market’s assessment.
With only days until voting and no major campaign disruptions reported after the July nomination period, traders see limited scope for other parties to overtake Auyl for runner-up status. The market’s 80% implied probability on Auyl aligns with these polling baselines and the structural advantages of incumbency from the prior legislature.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Обсяг
$80,833Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Auyl holds a strong lead in trader pricing for second place in Kazakhstan’s August 23 Kurultai election, reflecting its consistent positioning as the leading non-Adilet contender.** Recent July polls from multiple institutes show Adilet (the pro-presidential formation) dominating first place with 60–70% support, while Auyl trails in the mid-single digits but ahead of Respublica, Aq Jol, the People’s Party (QHP), and smaller registered parties. Auyl’s 10.9% and eight seats from the 2023 Mazhilis vote, combined with its agrarian focus and completed candidate-list registration, underpin the market’s assessment. With only days until voting and no major campaign disruptions reported after the July nomination period, traders see limited scope for other parties to overtake Auyl for runner-up status. The market’s 80% implied probability on Auyl aligns with these polling baselines and the structural advantages of incumbency from the prior legislature.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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