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Політика·Нова Зеландія

Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands

icon for Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands
Політика·Нова Зеландія

Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands

Mark Brown 90%

Teariki Heather 7.4%

Tina Browne 4.0%

Polymarket

$30,663 Обс.

Mark Brown 90%

Teariki Heather 7.4%

Tina Browne 4.0%

Polymarket

$30,663 Обс.

icon for Mark Brown

Mark Brown

$22,791 Обс.

90%

icon for Teariki Heather

Teariki Heather

$2,373 Обс.

7%

icon for Tina Browne

Tina Browne

$5,499 Обс.

4%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown, the incumbent Cook Islands Party leader and Prime Minister since 2020, holds an 89.5% implied probability as the next prime minister ahead of the August 12, 2026 general election. His position reflects strong party backing, a recent Cook Islands News poll showing him as the preferred leader at 35.2% with 84.4% support among his voters, and diplomatic gains including the April 2026 joint defense declaration with New Zealand that restored aid flows after earlier tensions. Opposition figures such as United Party leader Teariki Heather at 7.4% and Democratic Party leader Tina Browne at 4.0% trail due to narrower voter bases and limited polling momentum. Parliament convenes post-election to confirm the government, leaving room for coalition shifts or turnout changes in key electorates to influence the final outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$30,663
Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown, the incumbent Cook Islands Party leader and Prime Minister since 2020, holds an 89.5% implied probability as the next prime minister ahead of the August 12, 2026 general election. His position reflects strong party backing, a recent Cook Islands News poll showing him as the preferred leader at 35.2% with 84.4% support among his voters, and diplomatic gains including the April 2026 joint defense declaration with New Zealand that restored aid flows after earlier tensions. Opposition figures such as United Party leader Teariki Heather at 7.4% and Democratic Party leader Tina Browne at 4.0% trail due to narrower voter bases and limited polling momentum. Parliament convenes post-election to confirm the government, leaving room for coalition shifts or turnout changes in key electorates to influence the final outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$30,663
Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Mark Brown» з 90%, далі «Teariki Heather» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands» згенерував $30.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 16, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands» — «Mark Brown» з 90%. Наступний — «Teariki Heather» з 7%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.