Skip to main content
icon for Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner
Політика·Нова Зеландія

Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner

icon for Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner
Політика·Нова Зеландія

Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama 82.9%

Mapi Ioteva 10.9%

Christopher Robert Denny 3.8%

Itinga Maoate 1.0%

Polymarket

$27,419 Обс.

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama 82.9%

Mapi Ioteva 10.9%

Christopher Robert Denny 3.8%

Itinga Maoate 1.0%

Polymarket

$27,419 Обс.

Tukaka George Tamarua Ama

$25,650 Обс.

83%

Mapi Ioteva

$949 Обс.

11%

Christopher Robert Denny

$417 Обс.

4%

Itinga Maoate

$403 Обс.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Tukaka George Tamarua Ama holds an 82.9% implied probability as the Ngatangiia winner in the August 12, 2026 Cook Islands general election, reflecting trader consensus around his incumbency since 2022 and Cook Islands Party affiliation in a constituency where that party has maintained strong local support. The four confirmed candidates—alongside Ama, these include Mapi Ioteva of the Cook Islands United Party at 10.9%, Christopher Robert Denny of the Progressive Party at 3.1%, and Itinga Maoate of the Democratic Party at 1.1%—face structural barriers in a first-past-the-post single-member seat, with no recent polling shifts or late developments reported that would alter the positioning. Broader party dynamics favor the incumbent's reelection prospects ahead of vote counting.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Обсяг
$27,419
Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.Tukaka George Tamarua Ama holds an 82.9% implied probability as the Ngatangiia winner in the August 12, 2026 Cook Islands general election, reflecting trader consensus around his incumbency since 2022 and Cook Islands Party affiliation in a constituency where that party has maintained strong local support. The four confirmed candidates—alongside Ama, these include Mapi Ioteva of the Cook Islands United Party at 10.9%, Christopher Robert Denny of the Progressive Party at 3.1%, and Itinga Maoate of the Democratic Party at 1.1%—face structural barriers in a first-past-the-post single-member seat, with no recent polling shifts or late developments reported that would alter the positioning. Broader party dynamics favor the incumbent's reelection prospects ahead of vote counting.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
Обсяг
$27,419
Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 9:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.

Пов'язане

icon for Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

95%
icon for Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?

90%
icon for Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

55%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Tukaka George Tamarua Ama» з 83%, далі «Mapi Ioteva» з 11%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner» згенерував $27.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 16, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner» — «Tukaka George Tamarua Ama» з 83%. Наступний — «Mapi Ioteva» з 11%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Cook Islands Parliamentary Election: Ngatangiia Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.