Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for Next UK by-election called by…?
Політика·UK

Next UK by-election called by…?

icon for Next UK by-election called by…?
Політика·UK

Next UK by-election called by…?

Ended: Jan 1, 2027

Ended: Jan 1, 2027

$22,216 Обс.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$22,216 Обс.

Polymarket

September 30

$17,576 Обс.

Yes

December 31

$4,640 Обс.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent parliamentary by-elections have followed high-profile vacancies, including Nigel Farage’s July 2026 resignation from Clacton amid standards scrutiny and Josh Simons’s May departure from Makerfield to enable Andy Burnham’s return. Keir Starmer’s 1 September 2026 resignation from Holborn and St Pancras, shortly after leaving the premiership, has now set the next contest for 8 October. Trader consensus on the identity of the next triggering MP or party reflects ongoing volatility after Labour’s leadership transition, with attention on potential further resignations tied to internal party pressures, health issues, or strategic vacancies in marginal seats. Scheduled local council by-elections through October offer limited signals for Westminster patterns, while procedural rules require a writ moved in the Commons to formalise any new contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$22,216
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 7:16 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent parliamentary by-elections have followed high-profile vacancies, including Nigel Farage’s July 2026 resignation from Clacton amid standards scrutiny and Josh Simons’s May departure from Makerfield to enable Andy Burnham’s return. Keir Starmer’s 1 September 2026 resignation from Holborn and St Pancras, shortly after leaving the premiership, has now set the next contest for 8 October. Trader consensus on the identity of the next triggering MP or party reflects ongoing volatility after Labour’s leadership transition, with attention on potential further resignations tied to internal party pressures, health issues, or strategic vacancies in marginal seats. Scheduled local council by-elections through October offer limited signals for Westminster patterns, while procedural rules require a writ moved in the Commons to formalise any new contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$22,216
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 7:16 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

Пов'язане

icon for SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?

10%
icon for Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31?

31%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next UK by-election called by…?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «September 30» з 100%, далі «December 31» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next UK by-election called by…?» згенерував $22.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 24, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next UK by-election called by…?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next UK by-election called by…?» — «September 30» з 100%. Наступний — «December 31» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next UK by-election called by…?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.