Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5¢ in California's 26th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's solid Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 56% here in 2024, and incumbents held it with 12–21-point margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement created an open seat, but state Sen. Jacqui Irwin dominates Democratic fundraising with $497,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing top Republican Samuel Gallucci's $28,000. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary looms, likely advancing a strong Democrat, though a GOP surprise or national Republican midterm wave could narrow odds; absent scandals or turnout shifts, barriers to a Republican win remain high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-26 House Election Winner
CA-26 House Election Winner
$19,208 Обс.
$19,208 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$19,208 Обс.
$19,208 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,768 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$9,440 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5¢ in California's 26th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's solid Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 56% here in 2024, and incumbents held it with 12–21-point margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement created an open seat, but state Sen. Jacqui Irwin dominates Democratic fundraising with $497,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing top Republican Samuel Gallucci's $28,000. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary looms, likely advancing a strong Democrat, though a GOP surprise or national Republican midterm wave could narrow odds; absent scandals or turnout shifts, barriers to a Republican win remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,208Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5¢ in California's 26th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's solid Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 56% here in 2024, and incumbents held it with 12–21-point margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement created an open seat, but state Sen. Jacqui Irwin dominates Democratic fundraising with $497,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing top Republican Samuel Gallucci's $28,000. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary looms, likely advancing a strong Democrat, though a GOP surprise or national Republican midterm wave could narrow odds; absent scandals or turnout shifts, barriers to a Republican win remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,208Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 93.5¢ in California's 26th Congressional District House race, driven by the seat's solid Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 56% here in 2024, and incumbents held it with 12–21-point margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement created an open seat, but state Sen. Jacqui Irwin dominates Democratic fundraising with $497,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing top Republican Samuel Gallucci's $28,000. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Democratic. The June 2 top-two primary looms, likely advancing a strong Democrat, though a GOP surprise or national Republican midterm wave could narrow odds; absent scandals or turnout shifts, barriers to a Republican win remain high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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