Democratic Party candidates hold a commanding position in California's 26th congressional district race, reflecting the area's entrenched Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent partisan lean of roughly D+9. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement opened the Ventura County seat for the first time in over a decade, drawing multiple Democratic entrants—including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, who received an early endorsement from the retiring representative—while Republican candidates such as pastor Sam Gallucci have shown limited organizational strength or fundraising ahead of the June 2 primary. Forecasters rate the district solid or safe Democratic based on historical election results and structural factors. A late national political shift, an unexpected primary outcome producing a weaker Democratic nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow margins, though such developments face significant barriers given established voting patterns and the resolution timeline of November 3, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-26 House Election Winner
CA-26 House Election Winner
$26,373 Обс.
$26,373 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$26,373 Обс.
$26,373 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,001 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$12,373 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Party candidates hold a commanding position in California's 26th congressional district race, reflecting the area's entrenched Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent partisan lean of roughly D+9. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement opened the Ventura County seat for the first time in over a decade, drawing multiple Democratic entrants—including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, who received an early endorsement from the retiring representative—while Republican candidates such as pastor Sam Gallucci have shown limited organizational strength or fundraising ahead of the June 2 primary. Forecasters rate the district solid or safe Democratic based on historical election results and structural factors. A late national political shift, an unexpected primary outcome producing a weaker Democratic nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow margins, though such developments face significant barriers given established voting patterns and the resolution timeline of November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,373Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Party candidates hold a commanding position in California's 26th congressional district race, reflecting the area's entrenched Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent partisan lean of roughly D+9. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement opened the Ventura County seat for the first time in over a decade, drawing multiple Democratic entrants—including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, who received an early endorsement from the retiring representative—while Republican candidates such as pastor Sam Gallucci have shown limited organizational strength or fundraising ahead of the June 2 primary. Forecasters rate the district solid or safe Democratic based on historical election results and structural factors. A late national political shift, an unexpected primary outcome producing a weaker Democratic nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow margins, though such developments face significant barriers given established voting patterns and the resolution timeline of November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,373Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party candidates hold a commanding position in California's 26th congressional district race, reflecting the area's entrenched Democratic voter registration advantage and consistent partisan lean of roughly D+9. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement opened the Ventura County seat for the first time in over a decade, drawing multiple Democratic entrants—including state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, who received an early endorsement from the retiring representative—while Republican candidates such as pastor Sam Gallucci have shown limited organizational strength or fundraising ahead of the June 2 primary. Forecasters rate the district solid or safe Democratic based on historical election results and structural factors. A late national political shift, an unexpected primary outcome producing a weaker Democratic nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow margins, though such developments face significant barriers given established voting patterns and the resolution timeline of November 3, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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