Maryland's 4th congressional district features a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Democrat's 88 percent margin in the prior cycle. All major race forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 23 features the sitting representative alongside several challengers, but no credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the general. Trader consensus at 94.7 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the Washington suburbs. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican recruitment could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in districts of this composition.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$25,199 Обс.
$25,199 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$25,199 Обс.
$25,199 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,057 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$17,142 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district features a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Democrat's 88 percent margin in the prior cycle. All major race forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 23 features the sitting representative alongside several challengers, but no credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the general. Trader consensus at 94.7 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the Washington suburbs. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican recruitment could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in districts of this composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,199Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district features a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Democrat's 88 percent margin in the prior cycle. All major race forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 23 features the sitting representative alongside several challengers, but no credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the general. Trader consensus at 94.7 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the Washington suburbs. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican recruitment could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in districts of this composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$25,199Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th congressional district features a strongly Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent Democrat's 88 percent margin in the prior cycle. All major race forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The Democratic primary on June 23 features the sitting representative alongside several challengers, but no credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the general. Trader consensus at 94.7 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results in the Washington suburbs. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican recruitment could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in districts of this composition.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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