Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns since the 1960s. The seat has been held continuously by Democrats since 1963, with Republican general election performance rarely exceeding 30 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar filed for re-election and faces primary challengers on August 11, 2026, while Republican primary contenders prepare for the November general election. This structural advantage drives the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unexpected national political shift could still alter outcomes, though historical margins indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican success.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$36,996 Обс.
$36,996 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$36,996 Обс.
$36,996 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,719 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$21,277 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns since the 1960s. The seat has been held continuously by Democrats since 1963, with Republican general election performance rarely exceeding 30 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar filed for re-election and faces primary challengers on August 11, 2026, while Republican primary contenders prepare for the November general election. This structural advantage drives the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unexpected national political shift could still alter outcomes, though historical margins indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican success.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$36,996Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns since the 1960s. The seat has been held continuously by Democrats since 1963, with Republican general election performance rarely exceeding 30 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar filed for re-election and faces primary challengers on August 11, 2026, while Republican primary contenders prepare for the November general election. This structural advantage drives the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unexpected national political shift could still alter outcomes, though historical margins indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican success.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$36,996Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns since the 1960s. The seat has been held continuously by Democrats since 1963, with Republican general election performance rarely exceeding 30 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar filed for re-election and faces primary challengers on August 11, 2026, while Republican primary contenders prepare for the November general election. This structural advantage drives the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unexpected national political shift could still alter outcomes, though historical margins indicate limited realistic pathways for Republican success.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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