Incumbent Republican Andy Harris benefits from the district’s R+8 partisan voter index and his prior reelection margins, positioning the Republican Party as the leading outcome at 47.5 percent in trader consensus. A Democratic-backed redistricting proposal advanced through the state House but stalled in the Senate, preserving existing boundaries ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including fundraisers such as Dan Schwartz, continue consolidating support, while the Republican primary features Harris against challenger Chris Bruneau. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages that shape current market pricing between the two parties.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-01 House Election Winner
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
31%
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
31%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris benefits from the district’s R+8 partisan voter index and his prior reelection margins, positioning the Republican Party as the leading outcome at 47.5 percent in trader consensus. A Democratic-backed redistricting proposal advanced through the state House but stalled in the Senate, preserving existing boundaries ahead of the June 23 primaries and November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including fundraisers such as Dan Schwartz, continue consolidating support, while the Republican primary features Harris against challenger Chris Bruneau. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages that shape current market pricing between the two parties.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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