Trader consensus prices a commanding 90.5% probability on Republican victory in California's 20th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Vince Fong's strong showings—winning the 2024 special election and full term with 65%—in this R+16 Central Valley seat encompassing Kern County agriculture and oil interests. Recent filings ahead of the March 6 deadline yielded low-funded challengers: Democrat Sandra Van Scotter ($448 cash-on-hand) and no-party-preference candidates Ben Dewell and Jeremy Fox, contrasting Fong's $298,000 war chest as of late March. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with stable odds despite Proposition 50-enabled redistricting risks. The June 2 top-two primary looms; shifts could arise from boundary changes adding competitive areas, a Fong scandal, or national midterm dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-20 House Election Winner
CA-20 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,336 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$4,563 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a commanding 90.5% probability on Republican victory in California's 20th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Vince Fong's strong showings—winning the 2024 special election and full term with 65%—in this R+16 Central Valley seat encompassing Kern County agriculture and oil interests. Recent filings ahead of the March 6 deadline yielded low-funded challengers: Democrat Sandra Van Scotter ($448 cash-on-hand) and no-party-preference candidates Ben Dewell and Jeremy Fox, contrasting Fong's $298,000 war chest as of late March. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with stable odds despite Proposition 50-enabled redistricting risks. The June 2 top-two primary looms; shifts could arise from boundary changes adding competitive areas, a Fong scandal, or national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,899Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a commanding 90.5% probability on Republican victory in California's 20th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Vince Fong's strong showings—winning the 2024 special election and full term with 65%—in this R+16 Central Valley seat encompassing Kern County agriculture and oil interests. Recent filings ahead of the March 6 deadline yielded low-funded challengers: Democrat Sandra Van Scotter ($448 cash-on-hand) and no-party-preference candidates Ben Dewell and Jeremy Fox, contrasting Fong's $298,000 war chest as of late March. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with stable odds despite Proposition 50-enabled redistricting risks. The June 2 top-two primary looms; shifts could arise from boundary changes adding competitive areas, a Fong scandal, or national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,899Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a commanding 90.5% probability on Republican victory in California's 20th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Vince Fong's strong showings—winning the 2024 special election and full term with 65%—in this R+16 Central Valley seat encompassing Kern County agriculture and oil interests. Recent filings ahead of the March 6 deadline yielded low-funded challengers: Democrat Sandra Van Scotter ($448 cash-on-hand) and no-party-preference candidates Ben Dewell and Jeremy Fox, contrasting Fong's $298,000 war chest as of late March. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with stable odds despite Proposition 50-enabled redistricting risks. The June 2 top-two primary looms; shifts could arise from boundary changes adding competitive areas, a Fong scandal, or national midterm dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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