Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan commands 83% trader consensus to retain North Carolina's 10th congressional district House seat, driven by his overwhelming March 3 primary win (88% of vote) in an R+9 district per Cook PVI, where Donald Trump carried 55% in 2024. Democratic nominee Ashley Bell prevailed in a crowded primary (47%), but faces steep barriers including Harrigan's fundraising dominance—$974,000 raised versus her $28,000 through late March—and uniform Solid/Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report (updated May 12), Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Absent polling or major shifts, historical incumbency advantages and district fundamentals anchor the lopsided odds for the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNC-10 House Election Winner
NC-10 House Election Winner
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
12%
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan commands 83% trader consensus to retain North Carolina's 10th congressional district House seat, driven by his overwhelming March 3 primary win (88% of vote) in an R+9 district per Cook PVI, where Donald Trump carried 55% in 2024. Democratic nominee Ashley Bell prevailed in a crowded primary (47%), but faces steep barriers including Harrigan's fundraising dominance—$974,000 raised versus her $28,000 through late March—and uniform Solid/Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report (updated May 12), Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Absent polling or major shifts, historical incumbency advantages and district fundamentals anchor the lopsided odds for the November 3 general election.
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