Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 77.5% in Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the suspension of May 16 closed party primaries following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that declared the current map an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. Incumbent Rep. Cleo Fields advances unopposed as the Democratic nominee in the D+8 district, which he flipped in 2024, but now faces four Republican primary candidates—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—in the November 3 general election. The GOP-controlled legislature's recent advances on a new 5-1 Republican-favoring map, including Senate passage this week, signal potential boundary shifts restoring the district's pre-2024 Republican lean under former Rep. Garret Graves, outweighing forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings and boosting trader confidence in a GOP pickup amid redistricting uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$57,425 ปริมาณ
$57,425 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
20%
$57,425 ปริมาณ
$57,425 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$31,036 ปริมาณ
78%
Democratic Party
$26,389 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 77.5% in Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the suspension of May 16 closed party primaries following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that declared the current map an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. Incumbent Rep. Cleo Fields advances unopposed as the Democratic nominee in the D+8 district, which he flipped in 2024, but now faces four Republican primary candidates—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—in the November 3 general election. The GOP-controlled legislature's recent advances on a new 5-1 Republican-favoring map, including Senate passage this week, signal potential boundary shifts restoring the district's pre-2024 Republican lean under former Rep. Garret Graves, outweighing forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings and boosting trader confidence in a GOP pickup amid redistricting uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,425วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 77.5% in Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the suspension of May 16 closed party primaries following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that declared the current map an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. Incumbent Rep. Cleo Fields advances unopposed as the Democratic nominee in the D+8 district, which he flipped in 2024, but now faces four Republican primary candidates—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—in the November 3 general election. The GOP-controlled legislature's recent advances on a new 5-1 Republican-favoring map, including Senate passage this week, signal potential boundary shifts restoring the district's pre-2024 Republican lean under former Rep. Garret Graves, outweighing forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings and boosting trader confidence in a GOP pickup amid redistricting uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$57,425วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 77.5% in Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by the suspension of May 16 closed party primaries following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that declared the current map an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. Incumbent Rep. Cleo Fields advances unopposed as the Democratic nominee in the D+8 district, which he flipped in 2024, but now faces four Republican primary candidates—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—in the November 3 general election. The GOP-controlled legislature's recent advances on a new 5-1 Republican-favoring map, including Senate passage this week, signal potential boundary shifts restoring the district's pre-2024 Republican lean under former Rep. Garret Graves, outweighing forecasters' Solid Democratic ratings and boosting trader confidence in a GOP pickup amid redistricting uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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