Trader consensus gives IR Iran a slim 46% implied probability edge over Egypt's 44% in their crucial FIFA World Cup Group G finale on June 26 at Lumen Field in Seattle, underscoring the matchup's razor-thin margins amid comparable strengths. Iran's ascent to 21st in April's FIFA rankings—bolstered by a commanding 5-0 friendly rout of Costa Rica on March 31—highlights their defensive solidity and counterattacking threat, while Egypt sits at 29th after a solid Africa Cup of Nations campaign. A blow for the Pharaohs came April 3 when winger Islam Issa suffered an ACL tear, ruling him out; limited head-to-head history (last met 2007) and neutral venue keep dynamics fiercely contested, with both eyeing advancement behind Belgium.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Egypt wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Egypt wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus gives IR Iran a slim 46% implied probability edge over Egypt's 44% in their crucial FIFA World Cup Group G finale on June 26 at Lumen Field in Seattle, underscoring the matchup's razor-thin margins amid comparable strengths. Iran's ascent to 21st in April's FIFA rankings—bolstered by a commanding 5-0 friendly rout of Costa Rica on March 31—highlights their defensive solidity and counterattacking threat, while Egypt sits at 29th after a solid Africa Cup of Nations campaign. A blow for the Pharaohs came April 3 when winger Islam Issa suffered an ACL tear, ruling him out; limited head-to-head history (last met 2007) and neutral venue keep dynamics fiercely contested, with both eyeing advancement behind Belgium.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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