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Sports·Iran

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

Market icon
Sports·Iran

Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?

$176,194 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$176,194 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$174,147 Vol.

3%

April 30

$2,047 Vol.

43%

Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter. "Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason. The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter. "Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason. The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's qualification for the FIFA World Cup 2026 via topping their AFC third-round group last year remains intact, but escalating Middle East conflict, including US airstrikes alongside Israel, has fueled uncertainty over their participation in all-US group stage fixtures against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt in June. On March 11, Iran's sports minister declared participation impossible due to security and diplomatic tensions with co-host USA, prompting requests to relocate matches to Mexico—firmly rejected by FIFA on March 17. The federation president clarified a US boycott without full withdrawal on March 19, with AFC confirming no exit notification as of late March. Traders weigh geopolitical risks, potential FIFA sanctions for non-appearance, and diplomatic breakthroughs ahead of tournament kickoff.

Iran's qualification for the FIFA World Cup 2026 via topping their AFC third-round group last year remains intact, but escalating Middle East conflict, including US airstrikes alongside Israel, has fueled uncertainty over their participation in all-US group stage fixtures against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt in June. On March 11, Iran's sports minister declared participation impossible due to security and diplomatic tensions with co-host USA, prompting requests to relocate matches to Mexico—firmly rejected by FIFA on March 17. The federation president clarified a US boycott without full withdrawal on March 19, with AFC confirming no exit notification as of late March. Traders weigh geopolitical risks, potential FIFA sanctions for non-appearance, and diplomatic breakthroughs ahead of tournament kickoff.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before March 31, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter. "Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason. The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following US military strikes on Iran, FIFA has stated it will "monitor developments" regarding Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup. You can read more about that here: https://www.espn.com/soccer/story/_/id/48060986/fifa-monitor-developments-iran-ahead-2026-world-cup. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran is officially disqualified, banned, withdrawn, or otherwise confirmed not to participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup by April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of resolution, a qualifying announcement made on or before April 30, 2026, will suffice, regardless of whether Iran ultimately participates in the tournament thereafter. "Confirmed to not participate" is defined as an official announcement by FIFA, the Iranian Football Federation, or a governing body resulting in Iran's removal from the tournament, whether due to disqualification, withdrawal, suspension, or any other reason. The resolution source will be official announcements from FIFA or the Iranian Football Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's qualification for the FIFA World Cup 2026 via topping their AFC third-round group last year remains intact, but escalating Middle East conflict, including US airstrikes alongside Israel, has fueled uncertainty over their participation in all-US group stage fixtures against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt in June. On March 11, Iran's sports minister declared participation impossible due to security and diplomatic tensions with co-host USA, prompting requests to relocate matches to Mexico—firmly rejected by FIFA on March 17. The federation president clarified a US boycott without full withdrawal on March 19, with AFC confirming no exit notification as of late March. Traders weigh geopolitical risks, potential FIFA sanctions for non-appearance, and diplomatic breakthroughs ahead of tournament kickoff.

Iran's qualification for the FIFA World Cup 2026 via topping their AFC third-round group last year remains intact, but escalating Middle East conflict, including US airstrikes alongside Israel, has fueled uncertainty over their participation in all-US group stage fixtures against New Zealand, Belgium, and Egypt in June. On March 11, Iran's sports minister declared participation impossible due to security and diplomatic tensions with co-host USA, prompting requests to relocate matches to Mexico—firmly rejected by FIFA on March 17. The federation president clarified a US boycott without full withdrawal on March 19, with AFC confirming no exit notification as of late March. Traders weigh geopolitical risks, potential FIFA sanctions for non-appearance, and diplomatic breakthroughs ahead of tournament kickoff.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 30" at 43%, followed by "March 31" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?" has generated $176.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?" is "April 30" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.