Trader consensus prices Belgium at 74% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group G, driven by their No. 9 FIFA ranking, balanced squad depth with fit stars like Romelu Lukaku and Kevin De Bruyne dominating recent training camps, and historical pedigree including third place in 2018. Egypt trails at 15.5% on Mohamed Salah's electric qualifiers (8 goals) and solid friendlies like 0-0 versus Spain, despite winger Islam Issa's ACL absence, positioning the Pharaohs as realistic challengers for advancement. New Zealand edges Iran at 7.3% versus 5.1% amid the All Whites' physical prep under Chris Wood, while Team Melli's recent narrow losses to Japan and South Korea linger despite FIFA confirming their U.S. matches post-relocation denial. Clean injury reports across camps stabilize the closely watched group stage dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBelgium 74%
Egypt 16%
New Zealand 7.4%
Iran 5.1%
$35,310 Vol.
$35,310 Vol.
Belgium
74%
Egypt
16%
New Zealand
7%
Iran
5%
Belgium 74%
Egypt 16%
New Zealand 7.4%
Iran 5.1%
$35,310 Vol.
$35,310 Vol.
Belgium
74%
Egypt
16%
New Zealand
7%
Iran
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Belgium at 74% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group G, driven by their No. 9 FIFA ranking, balanced squad depth with fit stars like Romelu Lukaku and Kevin De Bruyne dominating recent training camps, and historical pedigree including third place in 2018. Egypt trails at 15.5% on Mohamed Salah's electric qualifiers (8 goals) and solid friendlies like 0-0 versus Spain, despite winger Islam Issa's ACL absence, positioning the Pharaohs as realistic challengers for advancement. New Zealand edges Iran at 7.3% versus 5.1% amid the All Whites' physical prep under Chris Wood, while Team Melli's recent narrow losses to Japan and South Korea linger despite FIFA confirming their U.S. matches post-relocation denial. Clean injury reports across camps stabilize the closely watched group stage dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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