Belgium leads trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability to win Group G, bolstered by Romelu Lukaku's recent return from injury and Domenico Tedesco's confirmation of a fluid 3-4-3 system with Kevin De Bruyne as captain, alongside a preliminary 28-man squad blending golden generation veterans with youth. Egypt sits at 17.0% following Mohamed Salah's clearance from a minor injury, positioning their compact low-block counters as a strong second-place threat despite Mohamed Hamdi's ACL absence. Iran's 7.8% reflects FIFA's affirmation of their participation amid geopolitical concerns and Alireza Jahanbakhsh's recovery, emphasizing organized resilience under Amir Ghalenoei. New Zealand trails at 2.7% as OFC qualifiers' flawless run meets a talent gap, with recent Haiti friendly prep underscoring underdog set-piece focus. Recent camp announcements and fitness boosts have solidified these hierarchies ahead of June 15 openers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBelgium 68%
Egypt 17%
Iran 7.9%
New Zealand 2.7%
$54,767 Vol.
$54,767 Vol.
Belgium
68%
Egypt
17%
Iran
8%
New Zealand
3%
Belgium 68%
Egypt 17%
Iran 7.9%
New Zealand 2.7%
$54,767 Vol.
$54,767 Vol.
Belgium
68%
Egypt
17%
Iran
8%
New Zealand
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 6:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Belgium leads trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability to win Group G, bolstered by Romelu Lukaku's recent return from injury and Domenico Tedesco's confirmation of a fluid 3-4-3 system with Kevin De Bruyne as captain, alongside a preliminary 28-man squad blending golden generation veterans with youth. Egypt sits at 17.0% following Mohamed Salah's clearance from a minor injury, positioning their compact low-block counters as a strong second-place threat despite Mohamed Hamdi's ACL absence. Iran's 7.8% reflects FIFA's affirmation of their participation amid geopolitical concerns and Alireza Jahanbakhsh's recovery, emphasizing organized resilience under Amir Ghalenoei. New Zealand trails at 2.7% as OFC qualifiers' flawless run meets a talent gap, with recent Haiti friendly prep underscoring underdog set-piece focus. Recent camp announcements and fitness boosts have solidified these hierarchies ahead of June 15 openers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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