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Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?

Market icon

Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$70,396 Объем

<1% chance
Polymarket

$70,396 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy announcements will qualify. Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official policy announcements will qualify.

Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify.

Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$70,396
Дата окончания
Jun 20, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jun 18, 2025, 3:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy announcements will qualify. Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy announcements will qualify. Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official policy announcements will qualify.

Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify.

Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$70,396
Дата окончания
Jun 20, 2025
Открытие рынка
Jun 18, 2025, 3:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy announcements will qualify. Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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«Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday? » — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 0% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 0¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 0%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday? » сгенерировал общий объём торгов $70.4K с момента запуска рынка Jun 18, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday? », просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday? » составляет 0% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

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